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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero Lopez

Ath Bilbao

U S T U S

1–0

Full-time

Eibar

S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Eibar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

17%

100%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,5

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 27%

25%

29%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

38%

58%

Both score Ø 56%

58%

54%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

9 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 2

5 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 11. · Eibar 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	25	17	6	2	+40	57
2	Ath Madrid	24	13	8	3	+17	47
3	Real Madrid	24	14	3	7	+12	45
4	Getafe	25	10	9	6	+10	39
5	Sevilla	25	10	7	8	+8	37
6	Alaves	25	10	7	8	-3	37
7	Sociedad	24	9	7	8	+5	34
8	Betis	24	9	6	9	-3	33
9	Valencia	24	6	14	4	+4	32
10	Eibar	24	7	10	7	-1	31
11	Ath Bilbao	24	6	12	6	-4	30
12	Levante	24	8	6	10	-7	30
13	Espanol	25	8	6	11	-10	30
14	Leganes	24	7	8	9	-5	29
15	Girona	24	6	9	9	-9	27
16	Valladolid	24	6	8	10	-10	26
17	Celta	25	6	7	12	-7	25
18	Villarreal	24	4	11	9	-5	23
19	Vallecano	25	6	5	14	-15	23
20	Huesca	25	4	7	14	-17	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+24	30
2	Ath Madrid	12	9	2	1	+13	29
3	Real Madrid	12	8	1	3	+12	25
4	Sevilla	12	7	3	2	+10	24
5	Eibar	13	6	5	2	+9	23
6	Alaves	12	6	5	1	+6	23
7	Getafe	12	7	1	4	+10	22
8	Betis	13	6	4	3	+2	22
9	Espanol	12	7	1	4	-1	22
10	Leganes	11	5	5	1	+6	20
11	Valencia	13	3	9	1	+6	18
12	Ath Bilbao	12	4	6	2	+0	18
13	Sociedad	12	4	4	4	+2	16
14	Celta	13	4	4	5	+1	16
15	Levante	11	4	3	4	-4	15
16	Vallecano	13	3	4	6	-7	13
17	Villarreal	13	2	6	5	-1	12
18	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	-3	12
19	Girona	12	2	5	5	-7	11
20	Huesca	12	2	4	6	-4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	8	3	1	+16	27
2	Real Madrid	12	6	2	4	+0	20
3	Ath Madrid	12	4	6	2	+4	18
4	Sociedad	12	5	3	4	+3	18
5	Getafe	13	3	8	2	+0	17
6	Girona	12	4	4	4	-2	16
7	Levante	13	4	3	6	-3	15
8	Valencia	11	3	5	3	-2	14
9	Valladolid	13	3	5	5	-7	14
10	Alaves	13	4	2	7	-9	14
11	Sevilla	13	3	4	6	-2	13
12	Ath Bilbao	12	2	6	4	-4	12
13	Villarreal	11	2	5	4	-4	11
14	Betis	11	3	2	6	-5	11
15	Vallecano	12	3	1	8	-8	10
16	Celta	12	2	3	7	-8	9
17	Leganes	13	2	3	8	-11	9
18	Huesca	13	2	3	8	-13	9
19	Espanol	13	1	5	7	-9	8
20	Eibar	11	1	5	5	-10	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.