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La Liga

Referee: Javier Alberola

Mallorca

U T T T S

1–0

Full-time

Real Madrid

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

25%

63%

Points per game

0,9

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 44%

25%

63%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%

5 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 4

5 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Mallorca 18. · Real Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	6	1	2	+13	19
2	Real Madrid	8	5	3	0	+8	18
3	Granada	9	5	2	2	+6	17
4	Ath Madrid	9	4	4	1	+3	16
5	Sociedad	8	4	1	3	+4	13
6	Getafe	9	3	4	2	+2	13
7	Valencia	9	3	4	2	+0	13
8	Sevilla	8	4	1	3	-1	13
9	Ath Bilbao	8	3	3	2	+3	12
10	Villarreal	8	3	2	3	+6	11
11	Levante	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Osasuna	9	2	5	2	-1	11
13	Valladolid	8	2	4	2	-1	10
14	Eibar	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Celta	8	2	3	3	-4	9
16	Betis	8	2	3	3	-5	9
17	Alaves	8	2	2	4	-4	8
18	Mallorca	8	2	1	5	-6	7
19	Espanol	8	1	2	5	-10	5
20	Leganes	9	0	2	7	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Ath Bilbao	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Valencia	5	2	3	0	+3	9
5	Granada	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+2	9
7	Villarreal	4	2	2	0	+6	8
8	Levante	4	2	2	0	+3	8
9	Betis	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Getafe	5	2	2	1	+2	8
11	Alaves	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Mallorca	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Celta	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+4	6
15	Osasuna	4	1	3	0	+1	6
16	Eibar	4	2	0	2	-1	6
17	Sevilla	3	1	1	1	+0	4
18	Valladolid	3	0	3	0	+0	3
19	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-6	1
20	Espanol	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	-1	9
2	Granada	5	2	2	1	+3	8
3	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Barcelona	5	2	1	2	+2	7
5	Ath Madrid	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Sociedad	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Valladolid	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Getafe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Espanol	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Valencia	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	+0	3
13	Ath Bilbao	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Eibar	5	0	3	2	-2	3
15	Levante	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Celta	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Leganes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Alaves	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Betis	3	0	1	2	-7	1
20	Mallorca	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.