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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martínez

Real Madrid

S S S S S

1–0

Full-time

Getafe

T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Getafe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 55%

66%

44%

Points per game

2,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

50%

38%

Both score Ø 43%

44%

41%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

0,7

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%

8 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

4 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 22

5 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 1. · Getafe 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	32	21	8	3	+39	71
2	Barcelona	33	21	7	5	+39	70
3	Ath Madrid	33	15	14	4	+18	59
4	Sevilla	33	15	12	6	+15	57
5	Villarreal	33	16	6	11	+13	54
6	Getafe	32	14	10	8	+12	52
7	Sociedad	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Ath Bilbao	33	12	12	9	+10	48
9	Granada	33	13	7	13	+2	46
10	Valencia	33	12	10	11	-7	46
11	Osasuna	33	11	11	11	-7	44
12	Levante	33	12	6	15	-5	42
13	Betis	33	9	10	14	-11	37
14	Valladolid	33	7	15	11	-10	36
15	Eibar	33	9	8	16	-16	35
16	Alaves	33	9	8	16	-18	35
17	Celta	33	7	13	13	-10	34
18	Mallorca	33	8	5	20	-21	29
19	Leganes	33	5	10	18	-25	25
20	Espanol	33	5	9	19	-26	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	15	2	0	+36	47
2	Real Madrid	16	12	4	0	+25	40
3	Ath Madrid	16	10	5	1	+13	35
4	Valencia	17	9	7	1	+11	34
5	Ath Bilbao	16	9	4	3	+11	31
6	Sociedad	17	9	3	5	+14	30
7	Getafe	17	8	6	3	+9	30
8	Villarreal	16	8	5	3	+12	29
9	Granada	16	9	2	5	+7	29
10	Levante	16	8	4	4	+8	28
11	Sevilla	16	7	7	2	+8	28
12	Betis	17	8	4	5	+5	28
13	Alaves	17	7	5	5	+6	26
14	Mallorca	17	7	3	7	+2	24
15	Eibar	17	7	2	8	-2	23
16	Osasuna	16	6	5	5	-4	23
17	Celta	16	5	6	5	+3	21
18	Valladolid	16	3	10	3	+1	19
19	Leganes	17	4	4	9	-10	16
20	Espanol	16	2	5	9	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	9	4	3	+14	31
2	Sevilla	17	8	5	4	+7	29
3	Villarreal	17	8	1	8	+1	25
4	Ath Madrid	17	5	9	3	+5	24
5	Barcelona	16	6	5	5	+3	23
6	Getafe	15	6	4	5	+3	22
7	Osasuna	17	5	6	6	-3	21
8	Sociedad	16	6	2	8	-6	20
9	Ath Bilbao	17	3	8	6	-1	17
10	Granada	17	4	5	8	-5	17
11	Valladolid	17	4	5	8	-11	17
12	Levante	17	4	2	11	-13	14
13	Celta	17	2	7	8	-13	13
14	Espanol	17	3	4	10	-13	13
15	Eibar	16	2	6	8	-14	12
16	Valencia	16	3	3	10	-18	12
17	Leganes	16	1	6	9	-15	9
18	Betis	16	1	6	9	-16	9
19	Alaves	16	2	3	11	-24	9
20	Mallorca	16	1	2	13	-23	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.