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Serie A

Referee: D Doveri

Atalanta

S S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Napoli

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Napoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 92%

100%

83%

Points per game

3,0

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

5,0

3,0

Scored

3,5

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

This season — Serie A · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 54%

61%

46%

Points per game

2,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

86%

57%

Both score Ø 72%

75%

68%

Average goals

4,3

3,0

Scored

2,9

1,6

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

6 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 1

7 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 4. · Napoli 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	29	23	3	3	+34	72
2	Lazio	29	21	5	3	+38	68
3	Inter	29	19	7	3	+33	64
4	Atalanta	28	17	6	5	+41	57
5	Roma	28	14	6	8	+15	48
6	Napoli	28	13	6	9	+9	45
7	Milan	29	12	7	10	-1	43
8	Verona	29	11	9	9	+3	42
9	Cagliari	29	10	9	10	+3	39
10	Parma	29	11	6	12	+2	39
11	Bologna	29	10	8	11	-5	38
12	Sassuolo	29	10	7	12	+1	37
13	Fiorentina	29	7	10	12	-7	31
14	Torino	29	9	4	16	-19	31
15	Sampdoria	29	8	5	16	-18	29
16	Udinese	28	7	7	14	-18	28
17	Genoa	29	6	8	15	-21	26
18	Lecce	29	6	7	16	-30	25
19	Spal	29	5	4	20	-27	19
20	Brescia	29	4	6	19	-33	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	14	13	1	0	+25	40
2	Lazio	15	12	3	0	+30	39
3	Inter	15	9	5	1	+20	32
4	Verona	15	8	3	4	+5	27
5	Atalanta	14	8	2	4	+18	26
6	Roma	14	7	3	4	+8	24
7	Sassuolo	14	6	2	6	+6	20
8	Cagliari	14	6	2	6	+4	20
9	Napoli	14	6	2	6	+1	20
10	Milan	14	5	5	4	+0	20
11	Parma	14	6	1	7	+4	19
12	Udinese	14	5	4	5	-3	19
13	Bologna	15	4	6	5	-4	18
14	Torino	15	5	3	7	-11	18
15	Sampdoria	15	4	4	7	-7	16
16	Fiorentina	15	3	6	6	-6	15
17	Genoa	14	4	1	9	-9	13
18	Lecce	15	2	5	8	-11	11
19	Spal	14	2	3	9	-10	9
20	Brescia	14	1	4	9	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	14	10	2	2	+13	32
2	Juventus	15	10	2	3	+9	32
3	Atalanta	14	9	4	1	+23	31
4	Lazio	14	9	2	3	+8	29
5	Napoli	14	7	4	3	+8	25
6	Roma	14	7	3	4	+7	24
7	Milan	15	7	2	6	-1	23
8	Bologna	14	6	2	6	-1	20
9	Parma	15	5	5	5	-2	20
10	Cagliari	15	4	7	4	-1	19
11	Sassuolo	15	4	5	6	-5	17
12	Fiorentina	14	4	4	6	-1	16
13	Verona	14	3	6	5	-2	15
14	Lecce	14	4	2	8	-19	14
15	Torino	14	4	1	9	-8	13
16	Sampdoria	14	4	1	9	-11	13
17	Genoa	15	2	7	6	-12	13
18	Brescia	15	3	2	10	-21	11
19	Spal	15	3	1	11	-17	10
20	Udinese	14	2	3	9	-15	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.