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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero Lopez
Real Madrid
S S S S T
3–1
Full-time
Getafe
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,7
1,5
Scored
3,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 47%
58%
35%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
73%
42%
Both score Ø 48%
54%
42%
Average goals
3,5
2,1
Scored
2,4
1,2
Conceded
1,1
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

76% Possession 24%
14 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 0
6 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Getafe 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 26 20 6 0 +56 66
2 Ath Madrid 26 18 7 1 +34 61
3 Real Madrid 26 15 6 5 +34 51
4 Valencia 26 15 5 6 +20 50
5 Sevilla 27 14 3 10 -4 45
6 Villarreal 27 12 5 10 +4 41
7 Girona 27 11 7 9 +2 40
8 Eibar 27 11 6 10 -5 39
9 Betis 26 11 4 11 -7 37
10 Getafe 26 9 9 8 +10 36
11 Celta 26 10 5 11 +5 35
12 Leganes 27 9 6 12 -9 33
13 Ath Bilbao 27 7 11 9 -4 32
14 Espanol 26 7 10 9 -9 31
15 Alaves 26 10 1 15 -14 31
16 Sociedad 26 8 6 12 +0 30
17 Levante 26 3 11 12 -20 20
18 Las Palmas 26 5 5 16 -34 20
19 La Coruna 27 4 7 16 -32 19
20 Malaga 27 3 4 20 -27 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Madrid Getafe
1–0 G. Bale
Isco
24′
25′
🟨 Loïc Rémy
Nacho Fernández 🟨
34′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Cristiano Ronaldo
K. Benzema
46′
47′
🟨 Loïc Rémy
47′
🟥 Loïc Rémy
53′
🟨 Francisco Portillo
56′
🔁 Jorge Molina
↦ Ángel
59′
🔁 G. Shibasaki
↦ Sergio Mora
Marcelo 🔁
↦ T. Hernández
65′
65′
Portillo 2–1
3–1 Cristiano Ronaldo
Marcelo
78′
Marco Asensio 🔁
↦ Cristiano Ronaldo
79′
M. Kovačić 🔁
↦ Marcos Llorente
79′
86′
🔁 Dani Pacheco
↦ Portillo
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-4-2
1 K. Navas G
4 Sergio Ramos D
6 Nacho D
2 Daniel Carvajal D
15 T. Hernández D
14 Casemiro M
22 Isco M
18 Marcos Llorente M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
9 K. Benzema F
11 G. Bale F
Bench (7)
12 Marcelo
20 Marco Asensio
23 M. Kovačić
5 R. Varane
13 Kiko Casilla
17 Lucas Vázquez
21 Borja Mayoral

Coach: Z. Zidane

Getafe

4-4-1-1
1 E. Martínez G
3 Antunes D
22 D. Suárez D
4 Bruno González D
2 D. Dakonam D
21 F. Fajr M
14 Sergio Mora M
12 Portillo M
18 M. Arambarri M
11 L. Rémy F
9 Ángel
Bench (7)
19 Jorge Molina
10 G. Shibasaki
20 Dani Pacheco
6 L. Cabrera
15 Molinero
25 F. Manojlović
31 M. Ndockyt

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.