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La Liga

Referee: David Medié

Villarreal

T S U S T

3–1

Full-time

Alaves

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,3

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

58% Possession 42%

10 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 0

4 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 8. · Alaves 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Valencia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Betis	4	2	0	2	-1	6
4	Granada	3	2	0	1	-2	6
5	Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+2	5
6	Celta	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Villarreal	3	1	1	1	-3	4
9	Levante	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Osasuna	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Cadiz	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Huesca	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Valladolid	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Alaves	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Granada	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Betis	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Eibar	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Huesca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Levante	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Huesca	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Celta	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	Granada	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.