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Serie A

Referee: F Maresca

Lazio

S S S T S

1–4

Full-time

Atalanta

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Atalanta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

6,0

Scored

2,0

4,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

60% Possession 40%

11 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

16 Free kicks against 11

7 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lazio 8. · Atalanta 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Verona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Spezia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-3	3
14	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Roma	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Parma	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Verona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Torino	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Spezia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Parma	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Roma	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.