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Serie A

Referee: A Prontera

Udinese

S S T S T

0–2

Full-time

Spezia

T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

5,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

4,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

10 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 2

6 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Udinese 15. · Spezia 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Verona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Roma	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Parma	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Verona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Torino	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Parma	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Roma	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.