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La Liga
Referee: Jorge Figueroa
Villarreal
S T T S U
2–1
Full-time
Eibar
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
0,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 3
9 Offside 5
5 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Villarreal Eibar
Gerard Moreno ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
11′
24′
🟨 Recio
Francis Coquelin 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
50′
Kike 0–1
Edu Expósito
Iborra 🔁
↦ F. Coquelin
58′
P. Estupiñán 🔁
↦ Pedraza
58′
1–1 Gerard Moreno
S. Chukwueze
63′
69′
🔁 Miguel Atienza
↦ Pedro León
2–1 Paco Alcácer
Gerard Moreno
71′
Paco Alcácer ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
72′
S. Chakla 🔁
↦ Albiol
78′
83′
🔁 Sergi Enrich
↦ Kike
83′
🔁 Kévin Rodrigues
↦ Rafa
83′
🔁 D. Kądzior
↦ Recio
Manu Trigueros 🔁
↦ Paco Alcácer
85′
T. Kubo 🔁
↦ S. Chukwueze
85′
88′
🔁 Quique González
↦ Sergio Álvarez
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Asenjo G
3 Albiol D
2 Mario Gaspar D
4 Pau Torres D
5 Dani Parejo M
19 F. Coquelin M
23 Moi Gómez M
24 Pedraza D
11 S. Chukwueze M
17 Paco Alcácer F
7 Gerard Moreno F
Bench (12)
10 Iborra
15 P. Estupiñán
22 S. Chakla
14 Manu Trigueros
16 T. Kubo
13 G. Rulli
8 Javi Ontiveros
21 Jaume Costa
6 Ramiro Funes Mori
32 Álex Baena
12 Dani Raba
34 Fer Niño

Coach: Unai Emery

Eibar

4-3-3
1 M. Dmitrović G
4 Paulo Oliveira D
3 Bigas D
20 Rober Correa D
11 Rafa D
14 T. Inui F
21 Pedro León F
6 Sergio Álvarez M
18 Recio M
10 Edu Expósito M
17 Kike F
Bench (12)
33 Miguel Atienza
9 Sergi Enrich
24 Kévin Rodrigues
19 D. Kądzior
7 Quique González
13 Yoel
2 E. Burgos
28 Eñaut Mendia
12 Y. Muto
5 José Martínez
22 Álvaro Tejero
32 Unai Arieta

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
4,05
B
5,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jorge Figueroa · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.