La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Eibar
Osasuna
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 |
Getafe
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 3 |
Cadiz
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +0 | 10 |
| 4 |
Granada
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 10 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |
Ath Madrid
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 8 |
| 7 |
Sociedad
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 8 |
Villarreal
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 |
Barcelona
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sevilla
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Valencia
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +0 | 7 |
| 12 |
Osasuna
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |
Celta
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 14 |
Eibar
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 |
Huesca
|
5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 |
Elche
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 |
Alaves
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 |
Levante
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 19 |
Ath Bilbao
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 20 |
Valladolid
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Dmitrović
G
Arbilla
D
Sergio Álvarez
M
Miguel Atienza
M
Coach: Mendilibar
Sergio Herrera
G
Rubén García
M
Moncayola
M
Enric Gallego
F
Kike Barja
M
Coach: Arrasate
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Valladolid
Eibar
Eibar
Elche
Eibar
Ath Bilbao
Villarreal
Eibar
Eibar
Celta
David Medié · 37 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.