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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Sevilla
S S S U T
0–1
Full-time
Eibar
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%
21 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
13 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 11. · Eibar 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 6 4 1 1 +5 13
2 Sociedad 6 3 2 1 +8 11
3 Villarreal 6 3 2 1 +0 11
4 Getafe 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Elche 5 3 1 1 +1 10
6 Cadiz 6 3 1 2 +0 10
7 Granada 5 3 1 1 -1 10
8 Betis 6 3 0 3 -2 9
9 Ath Madrid 4 2 2 0 +7 8
10 Barcelona 5 2 1 2 +4 7
11 Sevilla 4 2 1 1 +2 7
12 Osasuna 5 2 1 2 +1 7
13 Valencia 7 2 1 4 -2 7
14 Ath Bilbao 5 2 0 3 -1 6
15 Huesca 6 0 5 1 -2 5
16 Eibar 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Celta 6 1 2 3 -6 5
18 Alaves 6 1 1 4 -5 4
19 Valladolid 6 0 3 3 -4 3
20 Levante 5 1 0 4 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Eibar
41′
Kike 0–1
P. Diop
44′
🟨 Kevin Rodrigues
Half-time 0–1
L. Ocampos 🔁
↦ Sergi Gómez
46′
61′
🔁 Sergi Enrich
↦ Kévin Rodrigues
Carlos Fernández 🔁
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
70′
Suso 🔁
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
70′
73′
🔁 Edu Expósito
↦ Kike
74′
🟨 Edu Expósito
F. Vázquez 🔁
↦ Munir
80′
L. de Jong 🔁
↦ I. Rakitić
80′
85′
🔁 Pedro León
↦ Bryan Gil
87′
🟨 Pedro León
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-3-3
1 T. Vaclík G
16 Navas D
3 Sergi Gómez D
20 Diego Carlos D
10 I. Rakitić M
6 N. Gudelj M
19 M. Acuña D
21 Óliver Torres M
14 Óscar Rodríguez F
11 Munir F
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (12)
5 L. Ocampos
24 Carlos Fernández
7 Suso
22 F. Vázquez
9 L. de Jong
25 Fernando
17 Aleix Vidal
26 Pablo Pérez
30 Antonio Zarzana
31 Javi Díaz
13 Y. Bounou
4 K. Rekik

Coach: Lopetegui

Eibar

4-4-2
1 M. Dmitrović G
23 Arbilla D
4 Paulo Oliveira D
24 Kévin Rodrigues M
2 E. Burgos D
8 P. Diop M
14 T. Inui F
6 Sergio Álvarez M
22 Alejandro Pozo D
17 Kike F
25 Bryan Gil M
Bench (12)
9 Sergi Enrich
10 Edu Expósito
21 Pedro León
12 Y. Muto
7 Quique González
33 Miguel Atienza
5 José Martínez
11 Rafa
19 D. Kądzior
20 Rober Correa
16 Roberto Olabe
13 Yoel

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,48
U
4,26
B ✓
7,31
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.