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Serie B

Spal

S S T U U

1–0

Full-time

Lecce

S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

1,5

4,0

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 42%

46%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

31%

69%

Both score Ø 50%

31%

69%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

1,4

2,1

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

14 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 5

8 Corners 4

14 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spal 5. · Lecce 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	14	8	4	2	+8	28
2	Empoli	13	7	5	1	+11	26
3	Frosinone	13	7	3	3	+3	24
4	Cittadella	12	7	2	3	+13	23
5	Spal	13	6	5	2	+8	23
6	Venezia	13	6	4	3	+6	22
7	Lecce	13	5	6	2	+9	21
8	Monza	13	5	5	3	+6	20
9	Chievo	12	5	4	3	+5	19
10	Brescia	13	4	5	4	+2	17
11	Pordenone	13	3	8	2	+1	17
12	Pisa	13	4	5	4	-6	17
13	Vicenza	12	3	6	3	-2	15
14	Reggiana	12	4	2	6	-7	14
15	Cosenza	13	2	6	5	-1	12
16	Cremonese	13	2	6	5	-4	12
17	Pescara	13	3	2	8	-11	11
18	Reggina	13	2	4	7	-9	10
19	Ascoli	13	1	3	9	-12	6
20	Virtus Entella	14	0	5	9	-20	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	8	6	2	0	+10	20
2	Spal	6	4	2	0	+9	14
3	Empoli	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Cittadella	6	4	1	1	+9	13
5	Venezia	7	4	1	2	+4	13
6	Brescia	7	3	3	1	+6	12
7	Monza	6	3	2	1	+7	11
8	Frosinone	7	3	2	2	-1	11
9	Lecce	7	2	4	1	+5	10
10	Chievo	6	3	1	2	+4	10
11	Cremonese	7	2	3	2	-1	9
12	Pisa	6	2	3	1	-1	9
13	Reggiana	6	2	2	2	+2	8
14	Vicenza	5	1	4	0	+1	7
15	Reggina	7	2	1	4	-2	7
16	Pescara	7	2	1	4	-3	7
17	Pordenone	6	0	6	0	+0	6
18	Ascoli	6	1	1	4	-7	4
19	Cosenza	6	0	3	3	-3	3
20	Virtus Entella	7	0	1	6	-13	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	6	4	1	1	+4	13
2	Empoli	7	3	3	1	+4	12
3	Lecce	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Pordenone	7	3	2	2	+1	11
5	Cittadella	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Venezia	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Cosenza	7	2	3	2	+2	9
8	Chievo	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Monza	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Spal	7	2	3	2	-1	9
11	Salernitana	6	2	2	2	-2	8
12	Vicenza	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Pisa	7	2	2	3	-5	8
14	Reggiana	6	2	0	4	-9	6
15	Brescia	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Virtus Entella	7	0	4	3	-7	4
17	Pescara	6	1	1	4	-8	4
18	Cremonese	6	0	3	3	-3	3
19	Reggina	6	0	3	3	-7	3
20	Ascoli	7	0	2	5	-5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.