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La Liga

Referee: Valentín Pizarro

Valencia

U T U U U

0–1

Full-time

Sevilla

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 14/12 matches

Win Ø 36%

21%

50%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

64%

25%

Both score Ø 57%

71%

42%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

30% Possession 70%

10 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 13. · Sevilla 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	12	9	2	1	+19	29
2	Real Madrid	14	9	2	3	+11	29
3	Sociedad	15	7	5	3	+15	26
4	Villarreal	14	6	7	1	+6	25
5	Barcelona	13	6	3	4	+11	21
6	Granada	13	6	3	4	-3	21
7	Sevilla	12	6	2	4	+4	20
8	Celta	14	5	4	5	-1	19
9	Cadiz	14	5	3	6	-8	18
10	Ath Bilbao	14	5	2	7	+0	17
11	Getafe	13	4	4	5	-3	16
12	Betis	14	5	1	8	-11	16
13	Valencia	14	3	6	5	+0	15
14	Eibar	14	3	6	5	-3	15
15	Levante	13	3	5	5	-2	14
16	Elche	12	3	5	4	-4	14
17	Alaves	14	3	5	6	-5	14
18	Valladolid	14	3	5	6	-6	14
19	Huesca	14	1	8	5	-10	11
20	Osasuna	13	3	2	8	-10	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	6	1	0	+16	19
2	Barcelona	8	5	2	1	+11	17
3	Villarreal	7	4	3	0	+6	15
4	Granada	7	4	2	1	+4	14
5	Sociedad	7	3	3	1	+7	12
6	Real Madrid	6	4	0	2	+6	12
7	Ath Bilbao	6	4	0	2	+6	12
8	Celta	7	4	0	3	+1	12
9	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Getafe	7	3	1	3	+1	10
11	Valencia	7	2	3	2	+2	9
12	Levante	6	2	3	1	+2	9
13	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	-1	9
14	Betis	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Alaves	7	1	4	2	-2	7
16	Osasuna	7	2	1	4	-5	7
17	Huesca	6	1	3	2	-2	6
18	Elche	6	1	3	2	-3	6
19	Cadiz	7	1	2	4	-6	5
20	Eibar	8	0	4	4	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+5	17
2	Sociedad	8	4	2	2	+8	14
3	Cadiz	7	4	1	2	-2	13
4	Eibar	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Sevilla	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Villarreal	7	2	4	1	+0	10
8	Betis	8	3	0	5	-9	9
9	Elche	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Celta	7	1	4	2	-2	7
11	Alaves	7	2	1	4	-3	7
12	Granada	6	2	1	3	-7	7
13	Valencia	7	1	3	3	-2	6
14	Getafe	6	1	3	2	-4	6
15	Levante	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Valladolid	7	1	2	4	-5	5
17	Ath Bilbao	8	1	2	5	-6	5
18	Huesca	8	0	5	3	-8	5
19	Barcelona	5	1	1	3	+0	4
20	Osasuna	6	1	1	4	-5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.