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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro

Elche

S S T U U

1–1

Full-time

Cadiz

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Cadiz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 8/10 matches

Win Ø 39%

38%

40%

Points per game

1,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

38%

20%

Both score Ø 35%

50%

20%

Average goals

2,1

1,9

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

4 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 9

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 15

6 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elche 11. · Cadiz 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	10	7	2	1	+17	23
2	Ath Madrid	8	6	2	0	+16	20
3	Villarreal	10	5	4	1	+4	19
4	Real Madrid	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Cadiz	10	4	2	4	-3	14
6	Granada	9	4	2	3	-4	14
7	Sevilla	8	4	1	3	+3	13
8	Ath Bilbao	9	4	0	5	+2	12
9	Valencia	10	3	3	4	+1	12
10	Getafe	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Elche	8	3	3	2	-1	12
12	Betis	10	4	0	6	-9	12
13	Barcelona	8	3	2	3	+6	11
14	Osasuna	9	3	2	4	-1	11
15	Alaves	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Eibar	10	2	4	4	-3	10
17	Valladolid	11	2	4	5	-5	10
18	Levante	10	1	5	4	-5	8
19	Huesca	10	0	7	3	-8	7
20	Celta	10	1	4	5	-11	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+12	13
3	Sociedad	5	3	1	1	+7	10
4	Granada	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Ath Bilbao	4	3	0	1	+6	9
6	Sevilla	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Getafe	5	3	0	2	+2	9
8	Valencia	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+5	7
10	Osasuna	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Real Madrid	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Betis	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Valladolid	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Alaves	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Elche	4	1	2	1	-2	5
16	Levante	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Huesca	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Eibar	6	0	3	3	-4	3
19	Celta	4	1	0	3	-7	3
20	Cadiz	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Cadiz	5	4	0	1	+2	12
3	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Elche	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Betis	6	2	0	4	-9	6
8	Villarreal	4	1	2	1	-2	5
9	Levante	6	1	2	3	-3	5
10	Barcelona	4	1	1	2	+1	4
11	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Osasuna	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Alaves	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Valencia	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Celta	6	0	4	2	-4	4
17	Huesca	6	0	4	2	-6	4
18	Granada	4	1	1	2	-6	4
19	Getafe	4	0	3	1	-3	3
20	Ath Bilbao	5	1	0	4	-4	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.