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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero

Valladolid

U T U

0–1

Full-time

Alaves

S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

0,3

2,3

Scored

0,0

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

0,3

2,0

Scored

0,0

0,7

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

15 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valladolid 19. · Alaves 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Celta	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Ath Madrid	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Betis	4	1	2	1	-2	5
8	Sevilla	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Levante	4	1	1	2	+1	4
10	Getafe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Villarreal	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Alaves	3	1	1	1	-2	4
15	Girona	3	1	1	1	-2	4
16	Huesca	4	1	1	2	-6	4
17	Valencia	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Vallecano	3	1	0	2	-3	3
19	Valladolid	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Leganes	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Ath Bilbao	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Celta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Girona	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Huesca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+0	4
5	Huesca	3	1	1	1	-5	4
6	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Levante	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Eibar	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Leganes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.