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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero
Celta
S S T T S
0–2
Full-time
Sociedad
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
30%
60%
Points per game
1,0
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
40%
30%
Both score Ø 35%
30%
40%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
14 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 14. · Sociedad 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 10 6 3 1 +13 21
2 Sevilla 10 6 3 1 +10 21
3 Betis 11 6 3 2 +7 21
4 Sociedad 10 6 3 1 +5 21
5 Vallecano 11 6 1 4 +6 19
6 Osasuna 11 5 4 2 +1 19
7 Ath Madrid 9 5 3 1 +5 18
8 Ath Bilbao 10 4 5 1 +4 17
9 Barcelona 10 4 3 3 +4 15
10 Espanol 11 3 5 3 +0 14
11 Valencia 11 3 4 4 -1 13
12 Mallorca 11 3 4 4 -6 13
13 Villarreal 10 2 6 2 +3 12
14 Celta 10 3 1 6 -2 10
15 Elche 11 2 4 5 -5 10
16 Alaves 10 3 0 7 -8 9
17 Cadiz 11 1 5 5 -8 8
18 Granada 9 1 4 4 -6 7
19 Levante 10 0 5 5 -9 5
20 Getafe 10 0 2 8 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Sociedad
Fran Beltrán 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
54′
A. Isak 0–1
55′
ℹ️ Alexander Isak
VAR: Goal cancelled
65′
🔁 Zubeldía
↦ A. Januzaj
65′
🔁 Beñat Turrientes
↦ David Silva
65′
🔁 A. Sørloth
↦ Portu
R. Tapia 🔁
↦ Nolito
68′
F. Cervi 🔁
↦ Fran Beltrán
68′
A. Solari 🔁
↦ Denis Suárez
78′
Thiago Galhardo 🔁
↦ Hugo Mallo
78′
78′
🔁 Julen Lobete
↦ A. Isak
79′
Elustondo 0–2
Mikel Merino
84′
🔁 Diego Rico
↦ Aihen Muñoz
N. Araujo 🔁
↦ J. Aidoo
88′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Celta

4-1-3-2
1 M. Dituro G
2 Hugo Mallo D
24 J. Murillo D
15 J. Aidoo D
17 Javier Galán D
6 Denis Suárez M
23 Brais Méndez M
8 Fran Beltrán M
10 Iago Aspas F
9 Nolito M
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (12)
14 R. Tapia
11 F. Cervi
21 A. Solari
7 Thiago Galhardo
4 N. Araujo
28 Carlos Domínguez
34 Fernando Medrano
20 Kevin Vázquez
5 O. Yokuşlu
35 Hugo Álvarez
16 Miguel Baeza
13 Rubén Blanco

Coach: E. Coudet

Sociedad

4-2-3-1
13 M. Ryan G
2 Zaldúa D
6 Elustondo D
24 R. Le Normand D
12 Aihen Muñoz D
21 David Silva M
11 A. Januzaj M
8 Mikel Merino M
3 Martín Zubimendi M
7 Portu M
19 A. Isak F
Bench (11)
5 Zubeldía
27 Beñat Turrientes
23 A. Sørloth
35 Julen Lobete
15 Diego Rico
41 Germán Valera
26 Jon Pacheco
18 Gorosabel
29 Robert Navarro
1 Álex Remiro
16 Guevara

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,80
U
3,35
B ✓
2,54
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.