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Serie B
Ascoli
S T U U T
0–1
Full-time
Spal
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Spal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
44%
22%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
56%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

17 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 3
20 Free kicks against 26
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ascoli 9. · Spal 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 9 6 2 1 +10 20
2 Brescia 9 5 2 2 +7 17
3 Benevento 9 4 4 1 +8 16
4 Lecce 9 4 4 1 +5 16
5 Cremonese 9 5 1 3 +4 16
6 Reggina 9 4 4 1 +2 16
7 Frosinone 9 3 5 1 +4 14
8 Perugia 9 3 5 1 +4 14
9 Ascoli 9 4 2 3 +1 14
10 Monza 10 3 5 2 +0 14
11 Cosenza 10 4 2 4 -3 14
12 Ternana 10 4 1 5 +0 13
13 Cittadella 9 4 1 4 -2 13
14 Spal 9 2 4 3 +3 10
15 Parma 9 2 4 3 +1 10
16 Como 9 2 4 3 -1 10
17 Crotone 9 1 4 4 -6 7
18 Alessandria 9 2 1 6 -8 7
19 Vicenza 10 1 1 8 -12 4
20 Pordenone 9 0 2 7 -17 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,72
U
3,14
B ✓
2,59
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.