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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Ath Madrid
S U S T S
2–2
Full-time
Sociedad
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 65%
63%
67%
Points per game
2,1
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
50%
22%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 6. · Sociedad 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 9 6 2 1 +13 20
2 Sevilla 9 6 2 1 +10 20
3 Sociedad 9 6 2 1 +5 20
4 Betis 10 5 3 2 +4 18
5 Osasuna 10 5 3 2 +1 18
6 Ath Madrid 8 5 2 1 +5 17
7 Vallecano 10 5 1 4 +5 16
8 Ath Bilbao 9 4 4 1 +4 16
9 Barcelona 9 4 3 2 +5 15
10 Valencia 10 3 4 3 +2 13
11 Espanol 10 3 4 3 +0 13
12 Mallorca 10 3 3 4 -6 12
13 Villarreal 9 2 5 2 +3 11
14 Elche 10 2 4 4 -4 10
15 Celta 9 2 1 6 -5 7
16 Granada 9 1 4 4 -6 7
17 Cadiz 10 1 4 5 -8 7
18 Alaves 9 2 0 7 -9 6
19 Levante 10 0 5 5 -9 5
20 Getafe 9 0 2 7 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Sociedad
7′
A. Sørloth 0–1
A. Isak
Felipe 🟨
31′
41′
🟨 Joseba Zaldúa
Half-time 0–1
Y. Carrasco 🔁
↦ T. Lemar
46′
48′
A. Isak 0–2
Á. Correa 🔁
↦ Renan Lodi
58′
G. Kondogbia 🔁
↦ R. De Paul
58′
1–2 L. Suárez
João Félix
61′
63′
🔁 Jon Pacheco
↦ David Silva
63′
🔁 Beñat Turrientes
↦ Zaldúa
63′
🔁 Portu
↦ A. Isak
68′
🟨 Aritz Elustondo
Matheus Cunha 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
73′
H. Herrera 🔁
↦ Hermoso
73′
Luis Suárez ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
75′
76′
🟨 Mikel Merino
2–2 L. Suárez
77′
88′
🔁 A. Januzaj
↦ Guevara
88′
🔁 Julen Lobete
↦ A. Sørloth
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-3-3
13 J. Oblak G
23 K. Trippier D
18 Felipe D
22 Hermoso D
12 Renan Lodi D
6 Koke M
11 T. Lemar M
5 R. De Paul M
9 L. Suárez F
8 A. Griezmann F
7 João Félix F
Bench (8)
21 Y. Carrasco
10 Á. Correa
4 G. Kondogbia
19 Matheus Cunha
16 H. Herrera
2 J. Giménez
1 B. Lecomte
24 Š. Vrsaljko

Coach: D. Simeone

Sociedad

3-4-1-2
1 Álex Remiro G
2 Zaldúa M
6 Elustondo D
18 Gorosabel M
24 R. Le Normand D
21 David Silva F
8 Mikel Merino M
5 Zubeldía D
16 Guevara M
23 A. Sørloth F
19 A. Isak F
Bench (8)
26 Jon Pacheco
27 Beñat Turrientes
7 Portu
11 A. Januzaj
35 Julen Lobete
41 Germán Valera
13 M. Ryan
29 Robert Navarro

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,65
U ✓
3,77
B
5,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,67
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.