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La Liga

Referee: Adrián Cordero

Celta

T U S S T

2–0

Full-time

Osasuna

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 30%

30%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

40%

35%

Both score Ø 43%

40%

45%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%

5 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 0

0 Blocked shots 7

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 5

14 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 14. · Osasuna 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	21	15	4	2	+27	49
2	Sevilla	20	13	5	2	+18	44
3	Betis	21	11	4	6	+13	37
4	Ath Madrid	20	9	6	5	+9	33
5	Sociedad	20	9	6	5	+1	33
6	Barcelona	20	8	8	4	+8	32
7	Vallecano	20	9	4	7	+6	31
8	Villarreal	21	7	8	6	+10	29
9	Ath Bilbao	21	6	10	5	+3	28
10	Valencia	20	7	7	6	+0	28
11	Espanol	21	7	6	8	-1	27
12	Osasuna	20	6	7	7	-5	25
13	Granada	20	5	9	6	-3	24
14	Celta	20	6	5	9	-1	23
15	Elche	21	5	7	9	-7	22
16	Mallorca	20	4	8	8	-13	20
17	Getafe	20	4	6	10	-8	18
18	Alaves	21	4	5	12	-18	17
19	Cadiz	21	2	9	10	-19	15
20	Levante	20	1	8	11	-20	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	10	8	2	0	+16	26
2	Sevilla	10	8	2	0	+14	26
3	Real Madrid	10	7	3	0	+16	24
4	Villarreal	11	6	3	2	+13	21
5	Betis	11	6	2	3	+11	20
6	Barcelona	10	6	2	2	+8	20
7	Espanol	10	6	2	2	+6	20
8	Ath Madrid	9	5	3	1	+8	18
9	Sociedad	10	5	3	2	+1	18
10	Valencia	10	4	4	2	+5	16
11	Granada	10	4	3	3	+1	15
12	Ath Bilbao	10	4	2	4	+1	14
13	Getafe	10	4	2	4	+1	14
14	Elche	10	3	5	2	+0	14
15	Mallorca	10	2	6	2	+0	12
16	Alaves	11	3	3	5	-5	12
17	Osasuna	11	2	5	4	-6	11
18	Levante	10	1	6	3	-4	9
19	Celta	10	2	2	6	-4	8
20	Cadiz	11	0	6	5	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	8	1	2	+11	25
2	Sevilla	10	5	3	2	+4	18
3	Betis	10	5	2	3	+2	17
4	Celta	10	4	3	3	+3	15
5	Ath Madrid	11	4	3	4	+1	15
6	Sociedad	10	4	3	3	+0	15
7	Ath Bilbao	11	2	8	1	+2	14
8	Osasuna	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Barcelona	10	2	6	2	+0	12
10	Valencia	10	3	3	4	-5	12
11	Granada	10	1	6	3	-4	9
12	Cadiz	10	2	3	5	-10	9
13	Villarreal	10	1	5	4	-3	8
14	Elche	11	2	2	7	-7	8
15	Mallorca	10	2	2	6	-13	8
16	Espanol	11	1	4	6	-7	7
17	Vallecano	10	1	2	7	-10	5
18	Alaves	10	1	2	7	-13	5
19	Getafe	10	0	4	6	-9	4
20	Levante	10	0	2	8	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.