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La Liga

Referee: César Soto

Valencia

S S S T T

1–1

Full-time

Sevilla

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,8

1,5

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

2,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 50%

35%

65%

Points per game

1,4

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

65%

30%

Both score Ø 58%

75%

40%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,6

Conceded

1,6

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

32% Possession 68%

10 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 10. · Sevilla 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	21	15	4	2	+27	49
2	Sevilla	20	13	5	2	+18	44
3	Betis	21	11	4	6	+13	37
4	Ath Madrid	20	9	6	5	+9	33
5	Sociedad	20	9	6	5	+1	33
6	Barcelona	20	8	8	4	+8	32
7	Vallecano	20	9	4	7	+6	31
8	Villarreal	21	7	8	6	+10	29
9	Ath Bilbao	21	6	10	5	+3	28
10	Valencia	20	7	7	6	+0	28
11	Espanol	21	7	6	8	-1	27
12	Celta	21	7	5	9	+1	26
13	Osasuna	21	6	7	8	-7	25
14	Granada	20	5	9	6	-3	24
15	Elche	21	5	7	9	-7	22
16	Mallorca	20	4	8	8	-13	20
17	Getafe	20	4	6	10	-8	18
18	Alaves	21	4	5	12	-18	17
19	Cadiz	21	2	9	10	-19	15
20	Levante	20	1	8	11	-20	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	10	8	2	0	+16	26
2	Sevilla	10	8	2	0	+14	26
3	Real Madrid	10	7	3	0	+16	24
4	Villarreal	11	6	3	2	+13	21
5	Betis	11	6	2	3	+11	20
6	Barcelona	10	6	2	2	+8	20
7	Espanol	10	6	2	2	+6	20
8	Ath Madrid	9	5	3	1	+8	18
9	Sociedad	10	5	3	2	+1	18
10	Valencia	10	4	4	2	+5	16
11	Granada	10	4	3	3	+1	15
12	Ath Bilbao	10	4	2	4	+1	14
13	Getafe	10	4	2	4	+1	14
14	Elche	10	3	5	2	+0	14
15	Mallorca	10	2	6	2	+0	12
16	Alaves	11	3	3	5	-5	12
17	Celta	11	3	2	6	-2	11
18	Osasuna	11	2	5	4	-6	11
19	Levante	10	1	6	3	-4	9
20	Cadiz	11	0	6	5	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	8	1	2	+11	25
2	Sevilla	10	5	3	2	+4	18
3	Betis	10	5	2	3	+2	17
4	Celta	10	4	3	3	+3	15
5	Ath Madrid	11	4	3	4	+1	15
6	Sociedad	10	4	3	3	+0	15
7	Ath Bilbao	11	2	8	1	+2	14
8	Osasuna	10	4	2	4	-1	14
9	Barcelona	10	2	6	2	+0	12
10	Valencia	10	3	3	4	-5	12
11	Granada	10	1	6	3	-4	9
12	Cadiz	10	2	3	5	-10	9
13	Villarreal	10	1	5	4	-3	8
14	Elche	11	2	2	7	-7	8
15	Mallorca	10	2	2	6	-13	8
16	Espanol	11	1	4	6	-7	7
17	Vallecano	10	1	2	7	-10	5
18	Alaves	10	1	2	7	-13	5
19	Getafe	10	0	4	6	-9	4
20	Levante	10	0	2	8	-16	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.