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Ligue 1
Referee: F Batta
Lille
S S U S U
3–1
Full-time
Lorient
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
35%
15%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
55%
35%
Both score Ø 65%
75%
55%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lille 11. · Lorient 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 21 15 5 1 +24 50
2 Nice 21 12 4 5 +16 40
3 Marseille 20 10 7 3 +12 37
4 Rennes 21 10 4 7 +21 34
5 Monaco 21 9 6 6 +10 33
6 Lens 21 9 6 6 +7 33
7 Strasbourg 20 9 5 6 +14 32
8 Montpellier 20 9 4 7 +7 31
9 Lyon 20 7 8 5 +1 29
10 Nantes 21 8 5 8 +1 29
11 Lille 20 7 8 5 +0 29
12 Angers 20 6 8 6 -1 26
13 Brest 21 6 7 8 -7 25
14 Reims 21 5 9 7 -1 24
15 Metz 21 4 7 10 -17 19
16 Clermont 20 4 6 10 -16 18
17 Troyes 20 4 5 11 -11 17
18 Lorient 20 3 8 9 -16 17
19 Bordeaux 21 3 8 10 -20 17
20 St Etienne 20 2 6 12 -24 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lille Lorient
1–0 I. Lihadji
10′
1–1 M. Jenz
own goal
19′
2–1 Reinildo
Renato Sanches
30′
Half-time 2–1
63′
🔁 Igor Silva
↦ B. Mouazan
64′
🔁 Q. Boisgard
↦ E. Le Fée
T. Weah 🔁
↦ I. Lihadji
68′
Xeka 🔁
↦ Renato Sanches
68′
74′
🔁 F. Lemoine
↦ T. Monconduit
74′
🔁 S. Soumano
↦ T. Moffi
G. Gudmundsson 🔁
↦ J. Bamba
76′
C. Niasse 🔁
↦ A. Onana
76′
A. Gomes 🔁
↦ B. Yılmaz
82′
86′
🔁 R. Bourlès
↦ A. Laurienté
92′
S. Soumano 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Lille

4-4-2
1 I. Grbić G
6 José Fonte D
28 Reinildo D
2 Z. Çelik D
4 S. Botman D
10 Renato Sanches M
24 A. Onana M
17 B. Yılmaz F
7 J. Bamba M
9 J. David F
19 I. Lihadji M
Bench (9)
22 T. Weah
8 Xeka
5 G. Gudmundsson
27 C. Niasse
20 A. Gomes
3 Tiago Djaló
29 D. Bradarić
34 R. Ascone
16 A. Jakubech

Coach: J. Gourvennec

Lorient

4-4-2
30 P. Nardi G
25 V. Le Goff D
19 L. Pétrot D
17 H. Mendes D
3 M. Jenz D
23 T. Monconduit M
6 L. Abergel M
10 E. Le Fée M
28 A. Laurienté F
13 T. Moffi F
34 B. Mouazan M
Bench (9)
2 Igor Silva
11 Q. Boisgard
18 F. Lemoine
33 S. Soumano
31 R. Bourlès
1 M. Dreyer
37 T. Le Bris
5 T. Fontaine
14 J. Hergault

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,51
U
4,33
B
6,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,98
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.