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Ligue 2

Toulouse

S T U S U

4–0

Full-time

Nancy

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Nancy

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 33%

50%

15%

Points per game

1,9

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

55%

50%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,1

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

13 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 4

17 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Toulouse 2. · Nancy 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sochaux	21	11	6	4	+6	39
2	Toulouse	20	10	8	2	+22	38
3	Ajaccio	19	11	5	3	+12	38
4	Paris FC	20	11	4	5	+9	37
5	Auxerre	20	10	6	4	+10	36
6	Le Havre	21	8	9	4	+6	33
7	Niort	19	8	4	7	+2	28
8	Pau FC	21	8	4	9	+0	28
9	Rodez	21	7	6	8	-3	27
10	Nimes	20	7	5	8	-1	26
11	Dijon	21	8	2	11	-2	26
12	Guingamp	21	6	8	7	-4	26
13	Quevilly Rouen	20	6	6	8	-8	24
14	Bastia	21	5	8	8	-1	23
15	Caen	20	5	7	8	+0	22
16	Grenoble	21	6	4	11	-10	22
17	Valenciennes	20	5	7	8	-12	22
18	Amiens	19	4	9	6	+3	21
19	Dunkerque	19	4	4	11	-11	16
20	Nancy	20	3	6	11	-18	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	10	7	2	1	+9	23
2	Pau FC	11	7	1	3	+10	22
3	Sochaux	11	6	3	2	+4	21
4	Toulouse	10	5	4	1	+13	19
5	Paris FC	10	5	4	1	+5	19
6	Auxerre	10	5	3	2	+10	18
7	Bastia	10	3	7	0	+7	16
8	Niort	9	5	1	3	+5	16
9	Grenoble	10	5	1	4	+2	16
10	Le Havre	11	4	4	3	+2	16
11	Guingamp	10	4	3	3	+1	15
12	Dijon	11	4	2	5	-1	14
13	Amiens	10	3	4	3	+5	13
14	Rodez	10	3	4	3	+0	13
15	Nimes	10	3	3	4	-2	12
16	Caen	10	3	1	6	+1	10
17	Quevilly Rouen	9	2	4	3	-3	10
18	Dunkerque	10	2	3	5	-5	9
19	Nancy	10	2	3	5	-11	9
20	Valenciennes	10	2	2	6	-11	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	10	5	4	1	+9	19
2	Paris FC	10	6	0	4	+4	18
3	Sochaux	10	5	3	2	+2	18
4	Auxerre	10	5	3	2	+0	18
5	Le Havre	10	4	5	1	+4	17
6	Ajaccio	9	4	3	2	+3	15
7	Nimes	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	Valenciennes	10	3	5	2	-1	14
9	Rodez	11	4	2	5	-3	14
10	Quevilly Rouen	11	4	2	5	-5	14
11	Caen	10	2	6	2	-1	12
12	Dijon	10	4	0	6	-1	12
13	Niort	10	3	3	4	-3	12
14	Guingamp	11	2	5	4	-5	11
15	Amiens	9	1	5	3	-2	8
16	Dunkerque	9	2	1	6	-6	7
17	Bastia	11	2	1	8	-8	7
18	Nancy	10	1	3	6	-7	6
19	Pau FC	10	1	3	6	-10	6
20	Grenoble	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.