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La Liga

Referee: José Munuera

Villarreal

S T T U S

2–0

Full-time

Valencia

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 36%

41%

31%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 57%

44%

69%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

58% Possession 42%

12 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 7. · Valencia 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	32	23	6	3	+38	75
2	Barcelona	31	17	9	5	+28	60
3	Sevilla	32	16	12	4	+21	60
4	Ath Madrid	32	18	6	8	+20	60
5	Betis	33	17	6	10	+18	57
6	Sociedad	32	15	10	7	+2	55
7	Villarreal	32	13	10	9	+20	49
8	Ath Bilbao	32	11	12	9	+4	45
9	Osasuna	32	12	8	12	-8	44
10	Valencia	32	10	12	10	-2	42
11	Celta	32	10	9	13	+1	39
12	Espanol	32	10	9	13	-7	39
13	Elche	33	10	8	15	-8	38
14	Vallecano	31	9	7	15	-6	34
15	Getafe	32	7	11	14	-8	32
16	Mallorca	33	8	8	17	-25	32
17	Cadiz	32	6	13	13	-16	31
18	Granada	32	6	11	15	-20	29
19	Levante	32	5	10	17	-23	25
20	Alaves	33	6	7	20	-29	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	11	4	1	+21	37
2	Sevilla	16	11	4	1	+18	37
3	Ath Madrid	16	11	3	2	+16	36
4	Villarreal	16	9	5	2	+21	32
5	Barcelona	15	10	2	3	+18	32
6	Sociedad	16	9	5	2	+6	32
7	Espanol	16	9	4	3	+7	31
8	Betis	17	9	2	6	+11	29
9	Vallecano	16	8	4	4	+10	28
10	Ath Bilbao	16	8	3	5	+7	27
11	Getafe	16	7	4	5	+6	25
12	Mallorca	17	6	6	5	-2	24
13	Elche	16	6	5	5	+3	23
14	Valencia	16	5	7	4	+3	22
15	Osasuna	16	5	6	5	-5	21
16	Celta	16	5	4	7	+0	19
17	Alaves	16	5	4	7	-5	19
18	Granada	16	4	5	7	-8	17
19	Levante	16	3	7	6	-4	16
20	Cadiz	16	2	8	6	-7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	12	2	2	+17	38
2	Barcelona	16	7	7	2	+10	28
3	Betis	16	8	4	4	+7	28
4	Ath Madrid	16	7	3	6	+4	24
5	Sevilla	16	5	8	3	+3	23
6	Osasuna	16	7	2	7	-3	23
7	Sociedad	16	6	5	5	-4	23
8	Celta	16	5	5	6	+1	20
9	Valencia	16	5	5	6	-5	20
10	Ath Bilbao	16	3	9	4	-3	18
11	Villarreal	16	4	5	7	-1	17
12	Cadiz	16	4	5	7	-9	17
13	Elche	17	4	3	10	-11	15
14	Granada	16	2	6	8	-12	12
15	Levante	16	2	3	11	-19	9
16	Espanol	16	1	5	10	-14	8
17	Mallorca	16	2	2	12	-23	8
18	Getafe	16	0	7	9	-14	7
19	Vallecano	15	1	3	11	-16	6
20	Alaves	17	1	3	13	-24	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.