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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernández

Cadiz

U U U S T

1–0

Full-time

Villarreal

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 29%

14%

43%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

36%

46%

Both score Ø 47%

50%

43%

Average goals

2,3

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%

16 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cadiz 18. · Villarreal 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	28	20	6	2	+38	66
2	Sevilla	28	15	11	2	+21	56
3	Ath Madrid	29	16	6	7	+17	54
4	Barcelona	27	14	9	4	+23	51
5	Betis	28	15	4	9	+15	49
6	Sociedad	28	13	8	7	+0	47
7	Villarreal	28	12	9	7	+22	45
8	Ath Bilbao	29	10	11	8	+5	41
9	Valencia	29	10	10	9	-1	40
10	Osasuna	29	10	8	11	-7	38
11	Espanol	29	9	9	11	-6	36
12	Celta	28	9	8	11	+1	35
13	Vallecano	28	9	5	14	-5	32
14	Elche	29	8	8	13	-10	32
15	Getafe	29	6	11	12	-6	29
16	Granada	29	6	10	13	-15	28
17	Mallorca	29	6	8	15	-23	26
18	Cadiz	28	4	12	12	-17	24
19	Alaves	29	5	7	17	-25	22
20	Levante	29	3	10	16	-27	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	10	4	0	+23	34
2	Sevilla	13	10	3	0	+17	33
3	Villarreal	15	9	4	2	+21	31
4	Ath Madrid	14	9	3	2	+12	30
5	Barcelona	13	9	2	2	+18	29
6	Espanol	15	8	4	3	+6	28
7	Sociedad	14	8	4	2	+5	28
8	Vallecano	15	8	3	4	+10	27
9	Betis	15	8	2	5	+9	26
10	Ath Bilbao	14	7	3	4	+8	24
11	Getafe	14	6	4	4	+6	22
12	Valencia	14	5	6	3	+4	21
13	Elche	14	5	5	4	+1	20
14	Celta	14	5	3	6	+1	18
15	Mallorca	15	4	6	5	-4	18
16	Osasuna	15	4	6	5	-6	18
17	Granada	14	4	4	6	-5	16
18	Alaves	15	4	4	7	-6	16
19	Levante	14	2	7	5	-5	13
20	Cadiz	14	1	8	5	-7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	10	2	2	+15	32
2	Ath Madrid	15	7	3	5	+5	24
3	Betis	13	7	2	4	+6	23
4	Sevilla	15	5	8	2	+4	23
5	Barcelona	14	5	7	2	+5	22
6	Osasuna	14	6	2	6	-1	20
7	Valencia	15	5	4	6	-5	19
8	Sociedad	14	5	4	5	-5	19
9	Celta	14	4	5	5	+0	17
10	Ath Bilbao	15	3	8	4	-3	17
11	Villarreal	13	3	5	5	+1	14
12	Cadiz	14	3	4	7	-10	13
13	Granada	15	2	6	7	-10	12
14	Elche	15	3	3	9	-11	12
15	Espanol	14	1	5	8	-12	8
16	Mallorca	14	2	2	10	-19	8
17	Getafe	15	0	7	8	-12	7
18	Alaves	14	1	3	10	-19	6
19	Levante	15	1	3	11	-22	6
20	Vallecano	13	1	2	10	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.