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La Liga

Referee: Miguel Ortiz

Elche

T S T T S

0–1

Full-time

Valencia

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 31%

29%

32%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

54%

61%

Both score Ø 64%

57%

71%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

8 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

5 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elche 14. · Valencia 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	28	20	6	2	+38	66
2	Sevilla	28	15	11	2	+21	56
3	Barcelona	27	14	9	4	+23	51
4	Ath Madrid	28	15	6	7	+16	51
5	Betis	28	15	4	9	+15	49
6	Sociedad	28	13	8	7	+0	47
7	Villarreal	28	12	9	7	+22	45
8	Ath Bilbao	29	10	11	8	+5	41
9	Valencia	28	9	10	9	-2	37
10	Celta	28	9	8	11	+1	35
11	Osasuna	28	9	8	11	-9	35
12	Espanol	28	8	9	11	-7	33
13	Vallecano	27	9	5	13	-4	32
14	Elche	28	8	8	12	-9	32
15	Getafe	29	6	11	12	-6	29
16	Granada	29	6	10	13	-15	28
17	Mallorca	28	6	8	14	-22	26
18	Cadiz	28	4	12	12	-17	24
19	Alaves	29	5	7	17	-25	22
20	Levante	28	3	10	15	-25	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	10	4	0	+23	34
2	Sevilla	13	10	3	0	+17	33
3	Villarreal	15	9	4	2	+21	31
4	Ath Madrid	14	9	3	2	+12	30
5	Barcelona	13	9	2	2	+18	29
6	Sociedad	14	8	4	2	+5	28
7	Vallecano	14	8	3	3	+11	27
8	Betis	15	8	2	5	+9	26
9	Espanol	14	7	4	3	+5	25
10	Ath Bilbao	14	7	3	4	+8	24
11	Getafe	14	6	4	4	+6	22
12	Valencia	14	5	6	3	+4	21
13	Elche	13	5	5	3	+2	20
14	Celta	14	5	3	6	+1	18
15	Mallorca	15	4	6	5	-4	18
16	Granada	14	4	4	6	-5	16
17	Alaves	15	4	4	7	-6	16
18	Osasuna	14	3	6	5	-8	15
19	Levante	14	2	7	5	-5	13
20	Cadiz	14	1	8	5	-7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	10	2	2	+15	32
2	Betis	13	7	2	4	+6	23
3	Sevilla	15	5	8	2	+4	23
4	Barcelona	14	5	7	2	+5	22
5	Ath Madrid	14	6	3	5	+4	21
6	Osasuna	14	6	2	6	-1	20
7	Sociedad	14	5	4	5	-5	19
8	Celta	14	4	5	5	+0	17
9	Ath Bilbao	15	3	8	4	-3	17
10	Valencia	14	4	4	6	-6	16
11	Villarreal	13	3	5	5	+1	14
12	Cadiz	14	3	4	7	-10	13
13	Granada	15	2	6	7	-10	12
14	Elche	15	3	3	9	-11	12
15	Espanol	14	1	5	8	-12	8
16	Mallorca	13	2	2	9	-18	8
17	Getafe	15	0	7	8	-12	7
18	Alaves	14	1	3	10	-19	6
19	Levante	14	1	3	10	-20	6
20	Vallecano	13	1	2	10	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.