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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro

Villarreal

U S T S U

2–1

Full-time

Valencia

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%

16 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 8

4 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 8. · Valencia 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	5	3	1	1	+3	10
2	Getafe	5	3	1	1	+2	10
3	Cadiz	6	3	1	2	+0	10
4	Granada	5	3	1	1	-1	10
5	Betis	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+7	8
7	Sociedad	5	2	2	1	+5	8
8	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	-1	8
9	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+6	7
10	Sevilla	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Osasuna	5	2	1	2	+1	7
12	Valencia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Ath Bilbao	5	2	0	3	-1	6
14	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Celta	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Huesca	5	0	4	1	-2	4
17	Elche	3	1	1	1	-2	4
18	Alaves	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Levante	5	1	0	4	-5	3
20	Valladolid	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Granada	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Betis	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Real Madrid	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Celta	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Valladolid	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Eibar	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Huesca	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Elche	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Cadiz	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Levante	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Betis	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Sevilla	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Osasuna	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Barcelona	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Elche	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Huesca	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Levante	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Celta	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Granada	2	0	1	1	-5	1
19	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.