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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Vallecano
S U T S U
1–0
Full-time
Espanol
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
47%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
60%
33%
Both score Ø 47%
53%
40%
Average goals
2,6
1,9
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
7 Shots 10
0 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Vallecano 6. · Espanol 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 16 12 3 1 +22 39
2 Sevilla 15 9 4 2 +14 31
3 Betis 16 9 3 4 +8 30
4 Ath Madrid 15 8 5 2 +11 29
5 Sociedad 16 8 5 3 +6 29
6 Vallecano 15 7 3 5 +7 24
7 Barcelona 15 6 5 4 +6 23
8 Ath Bilbao 15 4 8 3 +2 20
9 Espanol 15 5 5 5 +1 20
10 Osasuna 15 5 5 5 -4 20
11 Valencia 15 4 7 4 +1 19
12 Mallorca 16 4 7 5 -7 19
13 Villarreal 15 3 7 5 -1 16
14 Celta 15 4 4 7 -3 16
15 Granada 15 3 6 6 -7 15
16 Alaves 15 4 2 9 -9 14
17 Elche 15 2 6 7 -9 12
18 Cadiz 15 2 6 7 -14 12
19 Getafe 15 2 4 9 -9 10
20 Levante 15 0 7 8 -15 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vallecano Espanol
-5′
🟥 Fran Mérida
9′
🟨 Javi Puado
Óscar Trejo 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
0–1 L. Cabrera
own goal
54′
61′
🔁 Fernando Calero
↦ Sergi Gómez
61′
🔁 Loren Morón
↦ K. Bare
P. Ciss 🔁
↦ Unai López
67′
69′
🟨 Aleix Vidal
74′
🔁 Nico Melamed
↦ Adri Embarba
74′
🔁 Manu Morlanes
↦ Darder
R. Falcao 🔁
↦ Sergi Guardiola
75′
Kévin Rodrigues 🔁
↦ Álvaro García
88′
R. Nteka 🔁
↦ Ó. Trejo
88′
Randy Nteka 🟨
90′
91′
🟨 Leandro Cabrera
Óscar Valentín 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
13 S. Dimitrievski G
20 I. Balliu D
24 E. Saveljich D
33 Fran García D
5 Catena D
12 Unai López M
18 Álvaro García M
23 Óscar Valentín M
8 Ó. Trejo M
16 Sergi Guardiola F
7 Isi Palazón M
Bench (12)
21 P. Ciss
3 R. Falcao
19 Kévin Rodrigues
9 R. Nteka
32 Mario Hernández
22 José Ángel Pozo
1 L. Zidane
10 Bebé
11 Andrés Martín
25 I. Arboleda
2 N. Maraš
4 Mario Suárez

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Espanol

4-1-4-1
13 Diego López G
4 L. Cabrera D
24 Sergi Gómez D
3 Adrià Pedrosa D
22 Aleix Vidal D
10 Darder M
20 K. Bare M
25 Y. Herrera M
11 Raúl de Tomás F
23 Adri Embarba M
9 Javi Puado M
Bench (11)
5 Fernando Calero
16 Loren Morón
21 Nico Melamed
6 Manu Morlanes
1 Oier
7 Wu Lei
2 Miguelón
14 Melendo
34 Joan García
17 Dídac Vilá
8 Fran Mérida

Coach: Vicente Moreno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,15
U
3,25
B
3,66
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,23
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.