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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martínez

Vallecano

T T T T T

1–1

Full-time

Sevilla

U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

0,2

1,2

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 26/27 matches

Win Ø 46%

35%

56%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

42%

30%

Both score Ø 41%

38%

44%

Average goals

2,3

2,1

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 3

2 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 14. · Sevilla 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	27	19	6	2	+35	63
2	Sevilla	27	15	10	2	+21	55
3	Ath Madrid	28	15	6	7	+16	51
4	Barcelona	26	13	9	4	+19	48
5	Betis	27	14	4	9	+14	46
6	Villarreal	28	12	9	7	+22	45
7	Sociedad	27	12	8	7	-1	44
8	Ath Bilbao	27	10	10	7	+6	40
9	Valencia	28	9	10	9	-2	37
10	Celta	28	9	8	11	+1	35
11	Osasuna	27	9	8	10	-5	35
12	Espanol	28	8	9	11	-7	33
13	Elche	28	8	8	12	-9	32
14	Vallecano	26	9	4	13	-4	31
15	Getafe	28	6	10	12	-6	28
16	Mallorca	27	6	8	13	-19	26
17	Granada	28	5	10	13	-16	25
18	Cadiz	28	4	12	12	-17	24
19	Alaves	27	5	7	15	-23	22
20	Levante	28	3	10	15	-25	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	10	4	0	+23	34
2	Sevilla	13	10	3	0	+17	33
3	Villarreal	15	9	4	2	+21	31
4	Ath Madrid	14	9	3	2	+12	30
5	Barcelona	12	8	2	2	+14	26
6	Vallecano	13	8	2	3	+11	26
7	Espanol	14	7	4	3	+5	25
8	Sociedad	13	7	4	2	+4	25
9	Betis	14	7	2	5	+8	23
10	Ath Bilbao	13	7	2	4	+8	23
11	Getafe	14	6	4	4	+6	22
12	Valencia	14	5	6	3	+4	21
13	Elche	13	5	5	3	+2	20
14	Celta	14	5	3	6	+1	18
15	Mallorca	14	4	6	4	-1	18
16	Granada	14	4	4	6	-5	16
17	Alaves	14	4	4	6	-5	16
18	Osasuna	14	3	6	5	-8	15
19	Levante	14	2	7	5	-5	13
20	Cadiz	14	1	8	5	-7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	9	2	2	+12	29
2	Betis	13	7	2	4	+6	23
3	Barcelona	14	5	7	2	+5	22
4	Sevilla	14	5	7	2	+4	22
5	Ath Madrid	14	6	3	5	+4	21
6	Osasuna	13	6	2	5	+3	20
7	Sociedad	14	5	4	5	-5	19
8	Celta	14	4	5	5	+0	17
9	Ath Bilbao	14	3	8	3	-2	17
10	Valencia	14	4	4	6	-6	16
11	Villarreal	13	3	5	5	+1	14
12	Cadiz	14	3	4	7	-10	13
13	Elche	15	3	3	9	-11	12
14	Granada	14	1	6	7	-11	9
15	Espanol	14	1	5	8	-12	8
16	Mallorca	13	2	2	9	-18	8
17	Getafe	14	0	6	8	-12	6
18	Alaves	13	1	3	9	-18	6
19	Levante	14	1	3	10	-20	6
20	Vallecano	13	1	2	10	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.