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La Liga

Referee: José Munuera

Vallecano

T T T T U

0–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

0,3

2,3

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+1,3

This season — La Liga · 27/28 matches

Win Ø 44%

33%

54%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

41%

68%

Both score Ø 51%

41%

61%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

1,1

1,9

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

15 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Vallecano 13. · Ath Madrid 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	28	20	6	2	+38	66
2	Sevilla	28	15	11	2	+21	56
3	Barcelona	27	14	9	4	+23	51
4	Ath Madrid	28	15	6	7	+16	51
5	Betis	28	15	4	9	+15	49
6	Sociedad	28	13	8	7	+0	47
7	Villarreal	28	12	9	7	+22	45
8	Ath Bilbao	29	10	11	8	+5	41
9	Valencia	29	10	10	9	-1	40
10	Osasuna	29	10	8	11	-7	38
11	Celta	28	9	8	11	+1	35
12	Espanol	28	8	9	11	-7	33
13	Vallecano	27	9	5	13	-4	32
14	Elche	29	8	8	13	-10	32
15	Getafe	29	6	11	12	-6	29
16	Granada	29	6	10	13	-15	28
17	Mallorca	28	6	8	14	-22	26
18	Cadiz	28	4	12	12	-17	24
19	Alaves	29	5	7	17	-25	22
20	Levante	29	3	10	16	-27	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	10	4	0	+23	34
2	Sevilla	13	10	3	0	+17	33
3	Villarreal	15	9	4	2	+21	31
4	Ath Madrid	14	9	3	2	+12	30
5	Barcelona	13	9	2	2	+18	29
6	Sociedad	14	8	4	2	+5	28
7	Vallecano	14	8	3	3	+11	27
8	Betis	15	8	2	5	+9	26
9	Espanol	14	7	4	3	+5	25
10	Ath Bilbao	14	7	3	4	+8	24
11	Getafe	14	6	4	4	+6	22
12	Valencia	14	5	6	3	+4	21
13	Elche	14	5	5	4	+1	20
14	Celta	14	5	3	6	+1	18
15	Mallorca	15	4	6	5	-4	18
16	Osasuna	15	4	6	5	-6	18
17	Granada	14	4	4	6	-5	16
18	Alaves	15	4	4	7	-6	16
19	Levante	14	2	7	5	-5	13
20	Cadiz	14	1	8	5	-7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	10	2	2	+15	32
2	Betis	13	7	2	4	+6	23
3	Sevilla	15	5	8	2	+4	23
4	Barcelona	14	5	7	2	+5	22
5	Ath Madrid	14	6	3	5	+4	21
6	Osasuna	14	6	2	6	-1	20
7	Valencia	15	5	4	6	-5	19
8	Sociedad	14	5	4	5	-5	19
9	Celta	14	4	5	5	+0	17
10	Ath Bilbao	15	3	8	4	-3	17
11	Villarreal	13	3	5	5	+1	14
12	Cadiz	14	3	4	7	-10	13
13	Granada	15	2	6	7	-10	12
14	Elche	15	3	3	9	-11	12
15	Espanol	14	1	5	8	-12	8
16	Mallorca	13	2	2	9	-18	8
17	Getafe	15	0	7	8	-12	7
18	Alaves	14	1	3	10	-19	6
19	Levante	15	1	3	11	-22	6
20	Vallecano	13	1	2	10	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.