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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero
Vallecano
S U U T T
2–4
Full-time
Levante
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
4,2
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 25%
30%
19%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
38%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

56% Possession 44%
19 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 3
5 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vallecano 12. · Levante 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 37 26 7 4 +49 85
2 Barcelona 37 21 10 6 +32 73
3 Ath Madrid 37 20 8 9 +21 68
4 Sevilla 37 17 16 4 +22 67
5 Betis 37 19 7 11 +22 64
6 Sociedad 37 17 11 9 +4 62
7 Villarreal 37 15 11 11 +24 56
8 Ath Bilbao 37 14 13 10 +8 55
9 Osasuna 37 12 11 14 -12 47
10 Celta 37 12 10 15 +2 46
11 Valencia 37 10 15 12 -7 45
12 Vallecano 37 11 9 17 -9 42
13 Espanol 37 10 11 16 -13 41
14 Getafe 37 8 15 14 -6 39
15 Elche 37 10 9 18 -14 39
16 Granada 37 8 13 16 -17 37
17 Cadiz 37 7 15 15 -17 36
18 Mallorca 37 9 9 19 -29 36
19 Levante 37 7 11 19 -27 32
20 Alaves 37 8 7 22 -33 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vallecano Levante
1–0 Álvaro García
18′
26′
Melero 1–1
M. Saracchi
44′
Roger Martí 1–2
Morales
Half-time 1–3
46′
Melero 1–3
E. Bardhi
46′
🔁 Pepelu
↦ Melero
55′
🟨 Marcelo Saracchi
Bebé ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
59′
60′
ℹ️ José Luis Morales
VAR: Goal cancelled
Santi Comesaña 🔁
↦ Mario Suárez
61′
P. Ciss 🔁
↦ R. Nteka
61′
2–3 Sergi Guardiola
61′
63′
🔁 Marc Pubill
↦ Roger Martí
63′
🔁 Miramón
↦ M. Saracchi
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ Bebé
71′
R. Falcao 🔁
↦ Sergi Guardiola
71′
75′
🟨 Sergio Postigo
76′
Coke 2–4
Alejandro Asensio 🔁
↦ Kévin Rodrigues
79′
85′
🔁 Rúben Vezo
↦ Coke
86′
🟨 Rúben Vezo
87′
🔁 O. Faraj
↦ Cantero
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
1 L. Zidane G
20 I. Balliu D
19 Kévin Rodrigues D
5 Catena D
4 Mario Suárez D
12 Unai López M
18 Álvaro García M
23 Óscar Valentín M
9 R. Nteka M
10 Bebé M
16 Sergi Guardiola F
Bench (11)
6 Santi Comesaña
21 P. Ciss
11 M. Sylla
3 R. Falcao
34 Alejandro Asensio
32 Mario Hernández
31 Manuel Navarro
2 N. Maraš
13 S. Dimitrievski
33 Fran García
7 Isi Palazón

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Levante

4-4-2
34 Dani Cárdenas G
23 Coke D
15 Postigo D
25 M. Saracchi D
4 Rober D
5 N. Radoja M
11 Morales M
22 Melero M
10 E. Bardhi M
9 Roger Martí F
29 Cantero F
Bench (11)
8 Pepelu
42 Marc Pubill
20 Miramón
14 Rúben Vezo
40 O. Faraj
46 G. Kochorashvili
44 Carlos Giménez
37 Pablo Cuñat
45 Primo
7 M. Cáceres
36 Antonio Leal

Coach: A. Lisci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,89
U
3,97
B ✓
3,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,44
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.