La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Vallecano
Levante
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–3
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
37 | 26 | 7 | 4 | +49 | 85 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
37 | 21 | 10 | 6 | +32 | 73 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | +21 | 68 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
37 | 17 | 16 | 4 | +22 | 67 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
37 | 19 | 7 | 11 | +22 | 64 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
37 | 17 | 11 | 9 | +4 | 62 |
| 7 |
Villarreal
|
37 | 15 | 11 | 11 | +24 | 56 |
| 8 |
Ath Bilbao
|
37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | +8 | 55 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | -12 | 47 |
| 10 |
Celta
|
37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | +2 | 46 |
| 11 |
Valencia
|
37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | -7 | 45 |
| 12 |
Vallecano
|
37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | -9 | 42 |
| 13 |
Espanol
|
37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | -13 | 41 |
| 14 |
Getafe
|
37 | 8 | 15 | 14 | -6 | 39 |
| 15 |
Elche
|
37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 |
Granada
|
37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | -17 | 37 |
| 17 |
Cadiz
|
37 | 7 | 15 | 15 | -17 | 36 |
| 18 |
Mallorca
|
37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | -29 | 36 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
37 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -27 | 32 |
| 20 |
Alaves
|
37 | 8 | 7 | 22 | -33 | 31 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Zidane
G
I. Balliu
D
Catena
D
Unai López
M
Álvaro García
M
Óscar Valentín
M
R. Nteka
M
Coach: Andoni Iraola
Dani Cárdenas
G
N. Radoja
M
E. Bardhi
M
Coach: A. Lisci
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Mallorca
Vallecano
Vallecano
Villarreal
Getafe
Vallecano
Vallecano
Sociedad
Barcelona
Vallecano
Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.