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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Muñiz
Vallecano
U U T S S
1–1
Full-time
Sociedad
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,7
1,0
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
45%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
36%
24%
Both score Ø 33%
39%
27%
Average goals
2,2
1,9
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 5
15 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vallecano 12. · Sociedad 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 34 25 6 3 +44 81
2 Sevilla 34 17 13 4 +22 64
3 Barcelona 33 18 9 6 +28 63
4 Ath Madrid 34 18 7 9 +18 61
5 Betis 33 17 6 10 +18 57
6 Sociedad 33 15 10 8 +1 55
7 Villarreal 34 14 10 10 +21 52
8 Ath Bilbao 34 13 12 9 +7 51
9 Osasuna 34 12 9 13 -10 45
10 Valencia 34 10 13 11 -4 43
11 Celta 34 10 10 14 -1 40
12 Vallecano 33 11 7 15 -4 40
13 Elche 34 10 9 15 -8 39
14 Espanol 34 10 9 15 -12 39
15 Getafe 33 8 11 14 -6 35
16 Cadiz 34 6 14 14 -17 32
17 Mallorca 33 8 8 17 -25 32
18 Granada 34 6 13 15 -20 31
19 Alaves 34 7 7 20 -28 28
20 Levante 34 5 11 18 -24 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vallecano Sociedad
33′
A. Sørloth 0–1
Gorosabel
38′
🟨 Igor Zubeldia
Half-time 0–1
Óscar Valentín 🔁
↦ P. Ciss
46′
R. Nteka 🔁
↦ Sergi Guardiola
46′
46′
🔁 Elustondo
↦ Zubeldía
46′
🔁 A. Januzaj
↦ Illarramendi
54′
🔁 Zaldúa
↦ Gorosabel
Unai López 🟨
56′
Ó. Trejo 🔁
↦ Unai López
63′
65′
🔁 A. Isak
↦ Portu
Óscar Valentín 🟨
73′
76′
🔁 Guevara
↦ Rafinha
R. Falcao 🔁
↦ Isi Palazón
77′
1–1 R. Falcao
78′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
13 S. Dimitrievski G
2 N. Maraš D
33 Fran García D
5 Catena D
32 Mario Hernández D
12 Unai López M
18 Álvaro García M
6 Santi Comesaña M
21 P. Ciss M
16 Sergi Guardiola F
7 Isi Palazón M
Bench (9)
23 Óscar Valentín
9 R. Nteka
8 Ó. Trejo
3 R. Falcao
10 Bebé
1 L. Zidane
19 Kévin Rodrigues
11 M. Sylla
4 Mario Suárez

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Sociedad

4-3-1-2
1 Álex Remiro G
15 Diego Rico D
18 Gorosabel D
24 R. Le Normand D
4 Illarramendi M
17 Rafinha M
8 Mikel Merino M
5 Zubeldía D
3 Martín Zubimendi M
7 Portu F
23 A. Sørloth F
Bench (12)
6 Elustondo
11 A. Januzaj
2 Zaldúa
19 A. Isak
16 Guevara
26 Jon Pacheco
35 Julen Lobete
13 M. Ryan
14 Jon Guridi
12 Aihen Muñoz
47 Ander Martín
37 N. Djouahra

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,21
U ✓
3,19
B
2,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Muñiz · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.