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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez
Levante
U T U S T
4–1
Full-time
Vallecano
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 25%
26%
23%
Points per game
1,1
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
66%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

34% Possession 66%
11 Shots 20
7 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 7
4 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Levante 16. · Vallecano 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 35 25 8 2 +54 83
2 Ath Madrid 35 22 8 5 +29 74
3 Real Madrid 35 20 5 10 +20 65
4 Sevilla 36 16 7 13 +13 55
5 Getafe 35 14 13 8 +13 55
6 Valencia 35 12 16 7 +8 52
7 Ath Bilbao 35 12 14 9 -3 50
8 Alaves 35 12 11 12 -9 47
9 Leganes 36 11 12 13 -3 45
10 Sociedad 35 11 11 13 -2 44
11 Espanol 35 11 11 13 -9 44
12 Betis 35 12 8 15 -10 44
13 Eibar 35 10 13 12 -4 43
14 Villarreal 35 9 13 13 -3 40
15 Celta 35 9 10 16 -9 37
16 Levante 35 9 10 16 -11 37
17 Girona 35 9 10 16 -12 37
18 Valladolid 35 8 11 16 -19 35
19 Vallecano 35 8 7 20 -25 31
20 Huesca 35 6 12 17 -18 30

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Vallecano
1–0 Campaña
14′
29′
🔁 Álvaro Medrán
↦ U. Agbo
2–0 Rúben Vezo
Campaña
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Javi Guerra
↦ A. Ba
58′
🟨 Álvaro Medrán
64′
🔁 Álvaro García
↦ Bebé
Rubén Rochina 🔁
↦ N. Vukčević
66′
68′
🟨 Mario Suárez
71′
Álvaro García 2–1
Javi Guerra
78′
🟨 Adrian Embarba
M. Simon 🔁
↦ Borja Mayoral
79′
82′
🟨 Adrian Embarba
82′
🟥 Adrian Embarba
José Campaña 🟨
85′
3–1 Jason
Campaña
85′
Sergio Postigo 🔁
↦ José Luis Morales
88′
4–1 E. Bardhi
M. Simon
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Levante

4-3-3
25 Aitor Fernández G
12 Coke D
3 Toño M
14 Rúben Vezo D
4 Rober D
24 Campaña M
17 N. Vukčević M
11 José Luis Morales F
10 E. Bardhi M
23 Jason M
2 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (7)
16 Rubén Rochina
7 M. Simon
15 Sergio Postigo
18 E. Cabaco
13 Oier
9 Roger Martí
19 Pedro López

Coach: Paco López

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
1 Alberto García G
2 Tito D
21 A. Ba D
23 Alejandro Gálvez D
15 Mario Suárez M
22 José Ángel Pozo M
7 Álex Moreno D
3 U. Agbo M
14 Bebé F
9 Raúl de Tomás F
11 Adri Embarba M
Bench (7)
4 Álvaro Medrán
24 Javi Guerra
18 Álvaro García
20 E. Velázquez
13 S. Dimitrievski
12 G. Imbula
10 G. Kakuta

Coach: Paco Jémez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Estrada Fernandez · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.