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La Liga
Referee: Valentín Pizarro
Elche
T T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Mallorca
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 15%
0%
29%
Points per game
0,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
71%
29%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
0,4
0,9
Conceded
2,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-2,1
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
7 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Elche 20. · Mallorca 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 8 7 1 0 +19 22
2 Real Madrid 8 7 1 0 +12 22
3 Ath Bilbao 8 5 2 1 +12 17
4 Ath Madrid 8 5 1 2 +7 16
5 Betis 8 5 1 2 +5 16
6 Sociedad 8 5 1 2 +2 16
7 Valencia 8 4 1 3 +6 13
8 Osasuna 8 4 1 3 +1 13
9 Villarreal 8 3 3 2 +7 12
10 Vallecano 8 3 1 4 -2 10
11 Celta 8 3 1 4 -5 10
12 Mallorca 7 2 2 3 -2 8
13 Valladolid 8 2 2 4 -7 8
14 Girona 8 2 1 5 -3 7
15 Almeria 8 2 1 5 -5 7
16 Getafe 8 2 1 5 -8 7
17 Espanol 8 1 3 4 -5 6
18 Sevilla 8 1 3 4 -6 6
19 Cadiz 8 1 2 5 -13 5
20 Elche 7 0 1 6 -15 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Mallorca
-5′
🟨 Giovanni González
11′
ℹ️ Antonio Sánchez
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Ezequiel Ponce 🟨
15′
1–0 E. Ponce
Gumbau
15′
Half-time 1–0
Pol Lirola 🔁
↦ Josan Ferrández
57′
L. Boyé 🔁
↦ E. Ponce
57′
Lucas Boyé ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
60′
Lucas Boyé 🟥
61′
61′
🔁 C. Grenier
↦ I. Baba
61′
🔁 A. Ndiaye
↦ Antonio Sánchez
N. Fernández Mercau 🔁
↦ Clerc
63′
64′
🔁 Ángel
↦ Copete
Helibelton Palacios 🟨
70′
71′
V. Muriqi 1–1
Omar Mascarell 🟨
73′
73′
🟨 Clément Grenier
Pere Milla 🔁
↦ H. Palacios
76′
Domingos Quina 🔁
↦ Raúl Guti
76′
79′
🟨 Antonio Raíllo
Pedro Bigas 🟨
80′
84′
ℹ️ Vedat Muriqi
VAR: Card upgrade
85′
🟥 Vedat Muriqi
87′
🟨 Predrag Rajković
94′
🔁 R. Battaglia
↦ Ruíz de Galarreta
94′
🔁 Dani Rodríguez
↦ Lee Kang-In
99′
🟨 Rodrigo Battaglia
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Elche

5-3-2
13 Edgar Badia G
17 Josan Ferrández D
14 H. Palacios D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
6 Bigas D
23 Clerc D
8 Raúl Guti M
20 Gumbau M
21 Omar Mascarell M
19 E. Ponce F
18 Roger Martí F
Bench (12)
24 Pol Lirola
9 L. Boyé
22 N. Fernández Mercau
10 Pere Milla
12 Domingos Quina
4 Diego González
2 F. Fernández
15 Álex Collado
26 John Nwankwo
11 Tete Morente
28 Jesús López
1 A. Werner

Coach: Alberto Gallego

Mallorca

3-4-2-1
1 P. Rajković G
24 M. Valjent D
21 Raíllo D
6 Copete D
15 Pablo Maffeo M
4 Ruíz de Galarreta M
12 I. Baba M
3 B. Cufré M
10 Antonio Sánchez F
19 Lee Kang-In F
7 V. Muriqi F
Bench (12)
8 C. Grenier
23 A. Ndiaye
22 Ángel
16 R. Battaglia
14 Dani Rodríguez
5 F. Russo
2 M. Nastasić
31 Leo Román
29 Josep Gayá
11 L. Junior
20 G. González
9 Abdón Prats

Coach: J. Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,08
U ✓
3,04
B
2,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,54
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Valentín Pizarro · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.