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La Liga

Referee: Jorge Figueroa

Real Madrid

S S S S S

4–1

Full-time

Mallorca

S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Mallorca

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

100%

25%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

100%

25%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,8

1,8

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

68% Possession 32%

22 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Mallorca 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	4	1	0	+14	13
2	Real Madrid	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Betis	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Osasuna	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Ath Bilbao	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Girona	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Vallecano	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	-1	7
11	Celta	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Valencia	5	2	0	3	+2	6
13	Mallorca	4	1	2	1	+1	5
14	Almeria	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Espanol	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Sevilla	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Valladolid	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Elche	4	0	1	3	-8	1
19	Getafe	4	0	1	3	-9	1
20	Cadiz	5	0	0	5	-14	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Osasuna	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Valencia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	Betis	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Girona	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Almeria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Valladolid	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Espanol	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Cadiz	3	0	0	3	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Mallorca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Betis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Sevilla	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Celta	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Girona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Almeria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Elche	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.