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Ligue 2
Referee: G Paradis
Sochaux
S S S S T
2–1
Full-time
St Etienne
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sochaux St Etienne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 55%
40%
70%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sochaux 4. · St Etienne 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bordeaux 11 7 2 2 +11 23
2 Amiens 11 7 2 2 +5 23
3 Le Havre 11 6 4 1 +14 22
4 Sochaux 10 6 1 3 +11 19
5 Valenciennes 11 5 4 2 +2 19
6 Caen 11 5 3 3 +5 18
7 Guingamp 11 5 3 3 +2 18
8 Grenoble 11 4 4 3 -1 16
9 Bastia 11 5 1 5 -4 16
10 Metz 11 4 2 5 +1 14
11 Paris FC 11 3 4 4 -2 13
12 Quevilly Rouen 11 3 4 4 -4 13
13 Annecy 11 3 3 5 +0 12
14 Dijon 11 3 3 5 -4 12
15 St Etienne 10 2 5 3 -1 11
16 Rodez 11 2 5 4 -5 11
17 Pau FC 11 2 5 4 -7 11
18 Laval 11 3 1 7 -5 10
19 Nimes 11 2 2 7 -7 8
20 Niort 11 2 2 7 -11 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sochaux St Etienne
1–0 S. Agouzoul
G. Weissbeck
3′
19′
🟨 Sergi Palencia
36′
🟨 Jimmy Giraudon
Gaetan Weissbeck 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
Moussa Doumbia 🟨
46′
2–0 M. Doumbia
I. Sissoko
48′
Ismaël Aaneba 🟨
56′
56′
🔁 L. Pintor
↦ Sergi Palencia
Julien Faussurier 🟨
66′
69′
J. Krasso 2–1
A. Kalulu 🔁
↦ I. Sissoko
73′
78′
🔁 M. Cafaro
↦ A. Bakayoko
78′
🔁 B. Bouchouari
↦ D. Chambost
S. Alvero 🔁
↦ M. Doumbia
79′
84′
🔁 A. Moueffek
↦ Y. Maçon
R. Pereira De Sa 🔁
↦ F. Kanouté
86′
H. Tebily 🔁
↦ T. Mauricio
87′
94′
🟥 Jean-Philippe Krasso
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sochaux

4-4-1-1
16 M. Prévot G
28 J. Faussurier D
22 I. Aaneba D
5 S. Agouzoul D
4 A. Ndour D
7 T. Mauricio M
77 F. Kanouté M
14 R. Ndiaye M
70 M. Doumbia M
10 G. Weissbeck F
9 I. Sissoko F
Bench (7)
15 A. Kalulu
80 S. Alvero
6 R. Pereira De Sa
27 H. Tebily
29 V. Henry
18 Y. Armougom
50 K. Agro

Coach: O. Guégan

St Etienne

5-3-2
42 E. Green G
13 Sergi Palencia D
36 A. Bakayoko D
5 J. Giraudon D
23 A. Briançon D
27 Y. Maçon D
22 V. Lobry M
7 T. Monconduit M
14 D. Chambost M
17 J. Krasso F
25 I. Wadji F
Bench (7)
15 L. Pintor
18 M. Cafaro
6 B. Bouchouari
29 A. Moueffek
37 L. Mouton
1 M. Dreyer
3 M. Nadé

Coach: L. Batlles

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,98
U
3,37
B
3,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Paradis · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.