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Premier League
Referee: A Madley
Man City
S S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Everton
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Everton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,0
This season — Premier League · 15/16 matches
Win Ø 46%
73%
19%
Points per game
2,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
73%
38%
Both score Ø 49%
53%
44%
Average goals
3,9
1,9
Scored
2,9
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,9
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

74% Possession 26%
16 Shots 2
3 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Man City 2. · Everton 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Arsenal 15 13 1 1 +24 40
2 Man City 15 11 2 2 +28 35
3 Newcastle 16 9 6 1 +21 33
4 Man United 16 10 2 4 +4 32
5 Tottenham 16 9 3 4 +10 30
6 Liverpool 16 8 4 4 +14 28
7 Brighton 15 7 3 5 +6 24
8 Chelsea 15 7 3 5 +2 24
9 Brentford 17 5 8 4 +0 23
10 Fulham 16 6 4 6 +1 22
11 Crystal Palace 15 5 4 6 -6 19
12 Aston Villa 16 5 3 8 -8 18
13 Leicester 17 5 2 10 -4 17
14 Bournemouth 16 4 4 8 -16 16
15 Leeds 15 4 3 8 -6 15
16 Everton 16 3 5 8 -7 14
17 West Ham 17 4 2 11 -9 14
18 Wolves 17 3 4 10 -16 13
19 Nott'm Forest 16 3 4 9 -22 13
20 Southampton 16 3 3 10 -16 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Man City Everton
Bernardo Silva 🟨
16′
1–0 E. Haaland
R. Mahrez
24′
Kevin De Bruyne 🟨
30′
33′
🟨 Nathan Patterson
Erling Haaland 🟨
44′
45′
🟨 James Tarkowski
Half-time 1–0
63′
🟨 Amadou Onana
64′
D. Gray 1–1
I. Gueye
70′
🔁 N. Maupay
↦ D. Calvert-Lewin
70′
🔁 S. Coleman
↦ N. Patterson
78′
🔁 T. Davies
↦ I. Gueye
P. Foden 🔁
↦ J. Grealish
87′
İ. Gündoğan 🔁
↦ R. Lewis
87′
J. Álvarez 🔁
↦ Bernardo Silva
87′
91′
🔁 A. Doucouré
↦ B. Godfrey
100′
🟨 Neal Maupay
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Man City

3-4-3
31 Ederson G
5 J. Stones D
25 M. Akanji D
6 N. Aké D
82 R. Lewis M
17 K. De Bruyne M
16 Rodri M
20 Bernardo Silva M
26 R. Mahrez F
9 E. Haaland F
10 J. Grealish F
Bench (9)
47 P. Foden
8 İ. Gündoğan
19 J. Álvarez
7 João Cancelo
18 S. Ortega
2 K. Walker
21 Sergio Gómez
80 C. Palmer
4 K. Phillips

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Everton

5-4-1
1 J. Pickford G
3 N. Patterson D
22 B. Godfrey D
30 C. Coady D
2 J. Tarkowski D
19 V. Mykolenko D
17 A. Iwobi M
8 A. Onana M
27 I. Gueye M
11 D. Gray M
9 D. Calvert-Lewin F
Bench (9)
20 N. Maupay
23 S. Coleman
26 T. Davies
16 A. Doucouré
29 Rúben Vinagre
7 D. McNeil
15 A. Begović
4 M. Holgate
60 I. Price

Coach: F. Lampard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,14
U ✓
8,61
B
21,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,38
U2,5 ✓
3,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Madley · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.