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Copa del Rey
Referee: Mario Melero
1–4
Full-time
Sociedad
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cazalegas Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Celta 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Levante 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 La Nucía 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Pontevedra 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Guijuelo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Ibiza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 CD Coria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Mirandes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Numancia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Oviedo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Granada 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Real Unión 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Cazalegas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Linares Deportivo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Saguntino 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Sestao River 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Arenas Getxo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Diocesano 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Intercity 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Fuentes 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Alcora 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Barbadás 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Velarde 2 1 0 1 -1 3
50 Algar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Santa Amalia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
52 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Huesca 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Coruxo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Eldense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Utebo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Mérida AD 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Dinamo San Juan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Peña Deportiva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Malaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Atlético Paso 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Real Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Arnedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Atlético Baleares 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Ourense CF 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Alcorcon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Montilla 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Gernika 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Leganes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Burgos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Rincón 2 0 1 1 -3 1
73 Autol 2 0 1 1 -6 1
74 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Gimnástica Torrelavega 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Yeclano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Cadiz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Universitario FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Atlético Lugones 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Los Yébenes SB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Unión Adarve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Turégano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Ferrol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Utrera 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Cirbonero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Cardassar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Racing Rioja 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Cristo Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Fuenlabrada 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Almazán 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Lealtad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Vimenor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 San Juan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 Amigó 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 Huétor Tájar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
113 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -3 0
114 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
115 Olot 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cazalegas Sociedad
2′
Robert Navarro 0–1
Beñat Turrientes
Half-time 0–1
62′
🔁 Brais Méndez
↦ Pablo Marín
62′
🔁 A. Sørloth
↦ Jon Karrikaburu
Chicha 🔁
↦ Róber Nuevo
64′
1–1 Rubén Rivera
68′
72′
🔁 Mikel Merino
↦ Beñat Turrientes
72′
🔁 Gorosabel
↦ Álex Sola
76′
A. Sørloth 1–2
Brais Méndez
78′
A. Sørloth 1–3
Brais Méndez
80′
Mikel Merino 1–4
Brais Méndez
Juan Carlos Tesoro 🔁
↦ Rubén Rivera
81′
81′
🔁 Jon Magunazelaia
↦ Robert Navarro
Borja Escoredo 🔁
↦ Dani Crespo
82′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Cazalegas

1 Machuca
14 Adrián Nombela
17 Álvaro Gil
2 Crístian Romero
7 Rubén Rivera
5 Alberto Alonso
6 David Barrientos
8 Róber Nuevo
18 Victor Meneses
21 Dani Crespo
9 Alfredo Ramos
Bench (11)
11 Chicha
16 Juan Carlos Tesoro
19 Borja Escoredo
23 Alejandro Ollero
3 Ferrer
10 Diego Prado
4 Miguel Bersieres
13 Raúl Calvo
20 Diego Sánchez
24 Hugo Dorado
22 Álvaro Fernández

Coach: Rubén Pulido

Sociedad

13 Andoni Zubiaurre
15 Diego Rico
6 Elustondo
2 Álex Sola
4 Illarramendi
5 Zubeldia
16 Guevara
17 Robert Navarro
22 Beñat Turrientes
42 Pablo Marín
33 Jon Karrikaburu
Bench (10)
23 Brais Méndez
19 A. Sørloth
8 Mikel Merino
18 Gorosabel
34 Jon Magunazelaia
32 Unai Marrero
1 Álex Remiro
24 R. Le Normand
31 Olasagasti
20 Jon Pacheco

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mario Melero · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.