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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Villarreal
T T S S S
2–1
Full-time
Valencia
U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
43%
36%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
29%
57%
Both score Ø 36%
14%
57%
Average goals
1,8
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
0,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 7
12 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 9. · Valencia 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 12 2 1 +28 38
2 Real Madrid 15 12 2 1 +21 38
3 Ath Madrid 15 8 3 4 +9 27
4 Sociedad 14 8 2 4 +2 26
5 Ath Bilbao 15 7 4 4 +10 25
6 Betis 15 7 4 4 +5 25
7 Vallecano 15 6 5 4 +4 23
8 Osasuna 14 7 2 5 +2 23
9 Villarreal 14 6 3 5 +5 21
10 Valencia 14 5 4 5 +7 19
11 Mallorca 15 5 4 6 -2 19
12 Girona 15 4 5 6 -2 17
13 Almeria 15 5 2 8 -6 17
14 Getafe 15 4 5 6 -6 17
15 Valladolid 15 5 2 8 -10 17
16 Espanol 15 2 7 6 -6 13
17 Celta 15 3 4 8 -12 13
18 Sevilla 15 2 6 7 -9 12
19 Cadiz 15 2 6 7 -17 12
20 Elche 15 0 4 11 -23 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal Valencia
-5′
🟨 Edinson Cavani
21′
E. Cavani 0–1
J. Foyth 🔁
↦ Kiko Femenía
33′
35′
🟨 Yunus Musah
1–1 S. Chukwueze
Gerard Moreno
45′
Half-time 1–1
56′
🟨 Eray Cömert
57′
🔁 Ilaix Moriba
↦ Y. Musah
N. Jackson 🔁
↦ Yeremy Pino
72′
José Luis Morales 🔁
↦ S. Chukwueze
72′
73′
🟨 Ilaix Moriba
74′
🔁 J. Kluivert
↦ Samuel Lino
Pedraza 🔁
↦ Alberto Moreno
78′
Manu Trigueros 🔁
↦ Álex Baena
79′
79′
🔁 Hugo Guillamón
↦ Nico González
79′
🔁 Hugo Duro
↦ E. Cavani
Juan Foyth 🟨
80′
2–1 J. Foyth
Dani Parejo
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-3-3
1 Pepe Reina G
2 Kiko Femenía D
3 Raúl Albiol D
4 Pau Torres D
18 Alberto Moreno D
16 Álex Baena M
10 Dani Parejo M
6 É. Capoue M
11 S. Chukwueze F
7 Gerard Moreno F
21 Yeremy Pino F
Bench (12)
8 J. Foyth
15 N. Jackson
22 José Luis Morales
24 Pedraza
14 Manu Trigueros
13 G. Rulli
9 A. Danjuma
35 F. Jörgensen
23 A. Mandi
5 Jorge Cuenca
12 J. Mojica
26 Alberto del Moral

Coach: Quique Setién

Valencia

4-3-3
25 G. Mamardashvili G
2 Thierry Correia D
24 E. Cömert D
12 M. Diakhaby D
14 José Gayà D
4 Y. Musah M
17 Nico González M
18 André Almeida M
11 Samu Castillejo F
7 E. Cavani F
16 Samuel Lino F
Bench (12)
8 Ilaix Moriba
9 J. Kluivert
6 Hugo Guillamón
19 Hugo Duro
22 Marcos André
13 Cristian Rivero
20 D. Foulquier
1 Iago Herrerín
5 Gabriel Paulista
21 Jesús Vázquez
3 Toni Lato
15 C. Özkacar

Coach: G. Gattuso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,97
U
3,45
B
4,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.