La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Villarreal
Valencia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | +28 | 38 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | +21 | 38 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +9 | 27 |
| 4 |
Sociedad
|
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 26 |
| 5 |
Ath Bilbao
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 |
Betis
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | +5 | 25 |
| 7 |
Vallecano
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 |
Osasuna
|
14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 21 |
| 10 |
Valencia
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +7 | 19 |
| 11 |
Mallorca
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 19 |
| 12 |
Girona
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 17 |
| 13 |
Almeria
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 |
Getafe
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 |
Valladolid
|
15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 17 |
| 16 |
Espanol
|
15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -12 | 13 |
| 18 |
Sevilla
|
15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -9 | 12 |
| 19 |
Cadiz
|
15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -17 | 12 |
| 20 |
Elche
|
15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -23 | 4 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Kiko Femenía
D
Pau Torres
D
Alberto Moreno
D
Álex Baena
M
S. Chukwueze
F
Gerard Moreno
F
Yeremy Pino
F
Coach: Quique Setién
G. Mamardashvili
G
Thierry Correia
D
E. Cömert
D
M. Diakhaby
D
José Gayà
D
Y. Musah
M
Nico González
M
André Almeida
M
Coach: G. Gattuso
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Guijuelo
Villarreal
Santa Amalia
Villarreal
Espanol
Villarreal
Villarreal
Mallorca
Lech Poznan
Villarreal
José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.