La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Las Palmas
Barcelona
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | +29 | +15.5 | 48 |
| 2 |
Girona
|
19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | +22 | +9.0 | 48 |
| 3 |
Ath Bilbao
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | +17 | +15.8 | 38 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | +16 | +10.6 | 38 |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +13 | +22.6 | 38 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | +11 | +1.7 | 32 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | +1 | -1.5 | 28 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | -1 | -4.4 | 26 |
| 9 |
Valencia
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -1 | -0.6 | 26 |
| 10 |
Las Palmas
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +0 | -9.1 | 25 |
| 11 |
Vallecano
|
19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | -6 | -3.6 | 23 |
| 12 |
Osasuna
|
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -7 | -3.8 | 22 |
| 13 |
Villarreal
|
19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -11 | -7.5 | 19 |
| 14 |
Mallorca
|
19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | -6 | -4.0 | 18 |
| 15 |
Alaves
|
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -10 | +1.0 | 17 |
| 16 |
Sevilla
|
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -4 | -7.8 | 16 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -9 | -1.0 | 16 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -12 | -12.4 | 15 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -18 | -10.9 | 11 |
| 20 |
Almeria
|
19 | 0 | 5 | 14 | -24 | -9.4 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Álvaro Valles
G
Alex Suárez
D
Saúl Coco
D
Mika Mármol
D
Sergi Cardona
D
Javier Muñoz
M
Máximo Perrone
M
Kirian Rodríguez
M
Munir El Haddadi
F
Sandro Ramírez
F
Alberto Moleiro
F
Coach: García Pimienta
Iñaki Peña
G
João Cancelo
D
Ronald Araújo
D
Jules Koundé
D
Alejandro Balde
D
İlkay Gündoğan
M
Raphinha
F
Ferran Torres
F
Coach: Xavi
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Bilbao
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
Cadiz
Alaves
Las Palmas
Tudelano
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
Getafe
Pablo González Fuertes · 10 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.