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La Liga

Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero

Alaves

S T S U S

0–1

Full-time

Las Palmas

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Las Palmas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,7

1,7

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 34%

27%

40%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

27%

Both score Ø 44%

47%

40%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,92 xG 0,38

40% Possession 60%

19 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 3

7 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 13. · Las Palmas 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	12	2	1	+24	+13.2	38
2	Girona	15	12	2	1	+16	+9.0	38
3	Barcelona	15	10	4	1	+14	+16.1	34
4	Ath Madrid	14	10	1	3	+17	+11.3	31
5	Ath Bilbao	15	8	4	3	+12	+9.5	28
6	Sociedad	15	7	5	3	+8	+2.8	26
7	Betis	15	6	7	2	+2	-0.5	25
8	Getafe	16	5	7	4	-2	-4.3	22
9	Las Palmas	15	6	3	6	+0	-3.7	21
10	Valencia	16	5	4	7	-4	+0.2	19
11	Vallecano	15	4	7	4	-6	-5.8	19
12	Villarreal	15	4	4	7	-4	-5.9	16
13	Alaves	15	4	4	7	-5	+0.7	16
14	Osasuna	15	4	3	8	-8	-6.8	15
15	Sevilla	14	2	7	5	+0	-4.7	13
16	Cadiz	15	2	6	7	-10	-10.7	12
17	Mallorca	15	1	8	6	-7	-3.7	11
18	Celta	15	1	6	8	-10	-0.9	9
19	Granada	15	1	4	10	-16	-12.3	7
20	Almeria	15	0	4	11	-21	-3.5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	7	0	1	+11	+8.5	21
2	Ath Madrid	7	7	0	0	+10	+9.3	21
3	Real Madrid	7	6	1	0	+14	+10.7	19
4	Girona	8	6	1	1	+8	+3.1	19
5	Getafe	8	5	3	0	+5	+1.6	18
6	Ath Bilbao	8	5	2	1	+11	+8.7	17
7	Betis	7	5	2	0	+8	+5.9	17
8	Sociedad	8	5	2	1	+7	+0.3	17
9	Las Palmas	7	4	2	1	+4	-0.2	14
10	Valencia	7	4	1	2	+5	+4.5	13
11	Alaves	7	4	1	2	+1	+3.5	13
12	Sevilla	8	2	4	2	+3	-0.5	10
13	Cadiz	7	2	3	2	-1	+2.4	9
14	Villarreal	8	2	1	5	-2	-1.0	7
15	Vallecano	7	1	4	2	-6	-4.7	7
16	Mallorca	7	0	6	1	-1	-1.0	6
17	Granada	7	1	3	3	-4	-4.7	6
18	Osasuna	8	1	3	4	-5	-1.2	6
19	Celta	8	0	4	4	-7	+2.9	4
20	Almeria	8	0	3	5	-8	+1.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	8	6	1	1	+10	+2.5	19
2	Girona	7	6	1	0	+8	+5.9	19
3	Barcelona	7	3	4	0	+3	+7.6	13
4	Vallecano	8	3	3	2	+0	-1.1	12
5	Ath Bilbao	7	3	2	2	+1	+0.7	11
6	Ath Madrid	7	3	1	3	+7	+1.9	10
7	Sociedad	7	2	3	2	+1	+2.4	9
8	Villarreal	7	2	3	2	-2	-4.8	9
9	Osasuna	7	3	0	4	-3	-5.5	9
10	Betis	8	1	5	2	-6	-6.3	8
11	Las Palmas	8	2	1	5	-4	-3.4	7
12	Valencia	9	1	3	5	-9	-4.3	6
13	Celta	7	1	2	4	-3	-3.7	5
14	Mallorca	8	1	2	5	-6	-2.8	5
15	Getafe	8	0	4	4	-7	-5.9	4
16	Sevilla	6	0	3	3	-3	-4.2	3
17	Alaves	8	0	3	5	-6	-2.8	3
18	Cadiz	8	0	3	5	-9	-13.1	3
19	Granada	8	0	1	7	-12	-7.6	1
20	Almeria	7	0	1	6	-13	-5.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.