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Champions League
Referee: M Guida
Antwerp
S U T S S
3–2
Full-time
Barcelona
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 55%
29%
80%
Points per game
0,9
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
57%
60%
Both score Ø 42%
43%
40%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
0,9
2,0
Conceded
2,3
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,67 xG 1,13
31% Possession 69%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Sep -23 Barcelona – Antwerp 5–0

Match report

Antwerp Barcelona
1–0 A. Vermeeren
2′
Owen Wijndal 🟨
23′
35′
Ferran Torres 1–1
Lamine Yamal
42′
🟨 Lamine Yamal
Half-time 1–1
53′
🟥 Sergi Roberto
VAR: Red card cancelled
54′
🟨 Sergi Roberto
2–1 V. Janssen
A. Yusuf
56′
60′
🔁 João Cancelo
↦ Héctor Fort
60′
🔁 Pedri
↦ Fermín
60′
🔁 İ. Gündoğan
↦ Oriol Romeu
J. Bataille 🔁
↦ G. Kerk
69′
72′
🔁 Marc Guiu
↦ R. Lewandowski
76′
🔁 Marc Casadó
↦ Sergi Roberto
G. Ilenikhena 🔁
↦ V. Janssen
79′
K. Corbanie 🔁
↦ C. Ejuke
80′
Ritchie De Laet 🟨
90′
91′
Marc Guiu 2–2
İ. Gündoğan
3–2 G. Ilenikhena
J. Bataille
92′
Z. Van Den Bosch 🔁
↦ R. De Laet
94′
Jelle Bataille 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 Ferran Torres
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Antwerp

4-5-1
1 J. Butez G
2 R. De Laet D
23 T. Alderweireld D
44 S. Coulibaly D
5 O. Wijndal D
7 G. Kerk M
27 M. Keita M
48 A. Vermeeren M
8 A. Yusuf M
19 C. Ejuke M
18 V. Janssen F
Bench (7)
34 J. Bataille
9 G. Ilenikhena
52 K. Corbanie
33 Z. Van Den Bosch
26 O. De Wolf
91 S. Lammens
46 M. Smits

Coach: M. van Bommel

Barcelona

4-3-3
13 Iñaki Peña G
39 Héctor Fort D
23 J. Koundé D
15 A. Christensen D
3 Alejandro Balde D
32 Fermín M
18 Oriol Romeu M
20 Sergi Roberto M
27 Lamine Yamal F
9 R. Lewandowski F
7 Ferran Torres F
Bench (12)
2 João Cancelo
8 Pedri
22 İ. Gündoğan
38 Marc Guiu
30 Marc Casadó
33 Pau Cubarsí
31 D. Kochen
26 Ander Astralaga
29 Ángel Alarcón
11 Raphinha
14 João Félix
34 Aleix Garrido

Coach: Xavi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.