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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero
Barcelona
S S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Las Palmas
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
3,3
0,8
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
3,3
0,8
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
22 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Las Palmas 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 6 6 0 0 +18 18
2 Sevilla 7 5 1 1 +6 16
3 Ath Madrid 7 4 3 0 +8 15
4 Betis 7 4 1 2 +3 13
5 Valencia 6 3 3 0 +7 12
6 Real Madrid 6 3 2 1 +5 11
7 Leganes 7 3 2 2 +2 11
8 Sociedad 7 3 1 3 +0 10
9 Levante 7 2 3 2 -2 9
10 Celta 7 2 2 3 +2 8
11 Getafe 7 2 2 3 +2 8
12 Ath Bilbao 6 2 2 2 +1 8
13 Espanol 6 2 2 2 -2 8
14 Villarreal 6 2 1 3 -3 7
15 La Coruna 7 2 1 4 -7 7
16 Girona 7 1 3 3 -5 6
17 Las Palmas 6 2 0 4 -5 6
18 Eibar 6 2 0 4 -11 6
19 Alaves 7 1 0 6 -7 3
20 Malaga 7 0 1 6 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Las Palmas
Paulinho 🟨
33′
Gerard Piqué 🟨
35′
Jordi Alba 🟨
45′
Sergio Busquets 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
I. Rakitić 🔁
↦ Paulinho
46′
Iniesta 🔁
↦ Aleix Vidal
46′
1–0 Sergio Busquets
L. Messi
49′
Luis Suárez 🟨
51′
59′
🟨 Ximo Navarro
2–0 L. Messi
Denis Suárez
70′
3–0 L. Messi
L. Suárez
77′
78′
🔁 Vicente Gómez
↦ Hernán
78′
🔁 H. Toledo
↦ Tana
André Gomes 🔁
↦ Iniesta
84′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-4-2
1 M. ter Stegen G
14 J. Mascherano M
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
22 Aleix Vidal M
15 Paulinho M
5 Sergio Busquets M
20 Sergi Roberto D
6 Denis Suárez M
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (7)
4 I. Rakitić
8 Iniesta
21 André Gomes
2 Nélson Semedo
13 J. Cillessen
16 Deulofeu
23 S. Umtiti

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
13 L. Chichizola G
12 Míchel D
22 Ximo Navarro D
3 M. Lemos D
15 Borja Herrera D
25 A. Aquilani M
21 Jonathan Viera M
14 Hernán M
24 Tana M
10 O. Tannane F
9 J. Calleri F
Bench (7)
4 Vicente Gómez
19 H. Toledo
1 Raúl Lizoáin
2 David Simón
5 David García
16 Aythami Artiles
18 Javi Castellano

Coach: Pako Ayestarán

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Luis Munuera Montero · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.