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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Espanol
U T U S S
1–0
Full-time
Getafe
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 30/31 matches
Win Ø 31%
30%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
43%
32%
Both score Ø 53%
60%
45%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,37 xG 0,47
63% Possession 37%
9 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 8
4 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Espanol 15. · Getafe 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 31 22 4 5 +55 +39.5 70
2 Real Madrid 31 20 6 5 +33 +27.1 66
3 Ath Madrid 31 18 9 4 +27 +22.3 63
4 Ath Bilbao 31 15 12 4 +24 +16.5 57
5 Villarreal 30 14 9 7 +13 +19.6 51
6 Betis 31 13 9 9 +3 +9.2 48
7 Celta 31 12 7 12 -1 +9.9 43
8 Mallorca 31 12 7 12 -6 +1.1 43
9 Sociedad 31 12 5 14 -4 +0.3 41
10 Vallecano 31 10 10 11 -4 -1.7 40
11 Getafe 31 10 9 12 +3 -5.8 39
12 Osasuna 31 8 14 9 -8 -8.7 38
13 Valencia 31 9 10 12 -12 -10.1 37
14 Sevilla 31 9 9 13 -8 -9.3 36
15 Espanol 30 9 8 13 -7 -20.5 35
16 Girona 31 9 7 15 -10 -4.0 34
17 Alaves 31 7 9 15 -12 -3.0 30
18 Las Palmas 31 7 8 16 -15 -27.9 29
19 Leganes 31 6 10 15 -19 -24.7 28
20 Valladolid 31 4 4 23 -52 -29.7 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Getafe
14′
🟨 Coba da Costa
1–0 M. Kumbulla
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Á. Rodríguez
↦ B. Yıldırım
59′
ℹ️ Christantus Uche
VAR: Card upgrade
60′
🟥 Christantus Uche
Fernando Calero 🔁
↦ M. Kumbulla
72′
72′
🔁 Juanmi
↦ Coba
73′
🟨 Mauro Arambarri
A. Král 🔁
↦ Pol Lozano
80′
Pere Milla 🔁
↦ Antoniu Roca
80′
81′
🔁 Borja Mayoral
↦ Á. Rodríguez
81′
🔁 Carles Pérez
↦ Ramon Terrats
82′
🔁 Juan Bernat
↦ Juan Iglesias
W. Cheddira 🔁
↦ Roberto Fernández
90′
Álvaro Tejero 🔁
↦ Jofre Carreras
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Espanol

4-2-3-1
1 Joan García G
23 O. El Hilali D
4 M. Kumbulla D
6 L. Cabrera D
22 Carlos Romero D
19 Urko González M
10 Pol Lozano M
17 Jofre Carreras M
8 Edu Expósito M
31 Antoniu Roca M
2 Roberto Fernández F
Bench (12)
5 Fernando Calero
20 A. Král
11 Pere Milla
16 W. Cheddira
12 Álvaro Tejero
13 Fernando Pacheco
9 A. Véliz
24 Pablo Ramón
18 Álvaro Aguado
42 Roger Hinojo
3 Sergi Gómez
33 Ángel Fortuño

Coach: Manolo González

Getafe

4-1-4-1
13 David Soria G
2 D. Dakonam D
22 Domingos Duarte D
15 O. Alderete D
21 Juan Iglesias D
5 Luis Milla M
11 Ramon Terrats M
6 C. Uche M
8 M. Arambarri M
29 Coba M
10 B. Yıldırım F
Bench (12)
18 Á. Rodríguez
24 Juanmi
9 Borja Mayoral
17 Carles Pérez
14 Juan Bernat
28 I. Bekhoucha
20 Yellu Santiago
7 Álex Sola
40 Diego Ferrer
19 P. González
1 J. Letáček
4 Juan Berrocal

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,80
U
2,74
B
3,05
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,94
U2,5 ✓
1,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.