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Ligue 2
Referee: R Landry
Amiens
T S U T S
3–2
Full-time
Guingamp
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 44%
37%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
53%
60%
Both score Ø 47%
47%
47%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

34% Possession 66%
11 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 12. · Guingamp 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 30 20 4 6 +30 64
2 Paris FC 30 19 4 7 +19 61
3 Metz 30 17 9 4 +30 60
4 Dunkerque 30 16 3 11 +6 51
5 Guingamp 30 15 3 12 +10 48
6 Bastia 30 10 14 6 +7 44
7 Annecy 30 12 8 10 -4 44
8 Laval 30 12 7 11 +5 43
9 Grenoble 30 11 7 12 +0 40
10 Ajaccio 30 11 5 14 -9 38
11 Pau FC 30 9 11 10 -11 38
12 Amiens 30 11 4 15 -13 37
13 Rodez 30 9 9 12 +3 36
14 Troyes 30 10 5 15 +0 35
15 Red Star 30 9 7 14 -14 34
16 Clermont 30 6 10 14 -15 28
17 Martigues 30 8 4 18 -25 28
18 Caen 30 5 6 19 -19 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Guingamp
1–0 M. Mbaye
8′
21′
R. Ghrieb 1–1
H. Picard
35′
🟨 Lebogang Phiri
2–1 A. Léautey
36′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 A. Demouchy
↦ M. Riou
Ibrahim Fofana 🟨
51′
52′
J. Siwe 2–2
Y. Rafii 🔁
↦ R. Lutin
69′
S. Bakayoko 🔁
↦ A. Chabane
70′
3–2 S. Bakayoko
A. Aït Boudlal
74′
75′
🔁 T. Luvambo
↦ R. Ghrieb
75′
🔁 S. Guendouz
↦ H. Picard
75′
🔁 B. Labeau
↦ J. Siwe
82′
🔁 T. Ahile
↦ L. Phiri
P. Carraro Injai 🔁
↦ T. Monconduit
85′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
39 A. Chabane D
6 A. Aït Boudlal D
13 M. Jaouab D
19 R. Vita D
37 T. Monconduit M
45 I. Fofana M
27 R. Lutin M
8 V. Lobry M
7 A. Léautey M
11 M. Mbaye F
Bench (7)
51 Y. Rafii
34 S. Bakayoko
42 P. Carraro Injai
78 J. Tincrès
16 A. Sauvage
23 M. El Idrissi
41 K. Kouassi

Coach: O. Daf

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 E. Basilio G
22 A. Sissoko D
26 M. Riou D
18 S. Nair D
6 L. Vallier D
21 R. Ghrieb M
4 D. Louiserre M
5 L. Phiri M
10 H. Picard M
28 T. Le Bris F
17 J. Siwe F
Bench (7)
36 A. Demouchy
23 T. Luvambo
19 S. Guendouz
9 B. Labeau
39 T. Ahile
30 B. Niasse
11 A. Sagna

Coach: S. Ripoll

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,07
U
3,47
B
1,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Landry · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.