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Allsvenskan

Referee: Victor Wolf

Malmo FF

S S S S U

1–1

Full-time

Sirius

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Sirius

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,23 xG 0,37

66% Possession 34%

19 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malmo FF 3. · Sirius 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+8	+3.8	9
2	AIK	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.2	7
3	Malmo FF	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.3	7
4	Degerfors	3	2	0	1	+4	+3.4	6
5	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	-2	-0.1	6
6	Mjallby	3	1	2	0	+3	+0.7	5
7	Elfsborg	3	1	1	1	+1	+2.2	4
8	GAIS	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.7	4
9	Oster	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.2	3
10	Brommapojkarna	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.3	3
11	Norrkoping	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.5	3
12	Djurgarden	3	1	0	2	-2	+1.0	3
13	Sirius	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.2	3
14	Hacken	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.2	3
15	Halmstad	3	1	0	2	-5	-5.4	3
16	Varnamo	3	0	0	3	-3	+0.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.6	6
2	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.6	4
3	AIK	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
4	Oster	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
5	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	GAIS	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.2	3
8	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
9	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
10	Hacken	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	3
11	Halmstad	2	1	0	1	-4	-3.5	3
12	Mjallby	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
13	Djurgarden	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
14	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.3	0
15	Brommapojkarna	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
16	Sirius	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+3	-1.2	4
2	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.7	4
3	Degerfors	2	1	0	1	+3	+4.2	3
4	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
5	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	+1	–	3
6	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
7	AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
8	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.0	3
9	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.1	3
10	GAIS	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
11	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	Halmstad	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
13	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
14	Oster	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.6	0
15	Hacken	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
16	Norrkoping	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.