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La Liga
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Celta
S T S T U
1–1
Full-time
Betis
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,83 xG 0,33
47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 15. · Betis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Villarreal 2 2 0 0 +7 +3.7 6
2 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 +4 +1.7 6
3 Real Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 +3.5 6
4 Getafe 2 2 0 0 +3 +0.9 6
5 Ath Bilbao 2 2 0 0 +2 +3.1 6
6 Espanol 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.9 4
7 Betis 2 1 1 0 +1 +2.0 4
8 Vallecano 2 1 0 1 +1 +1.6 3
9 Alaves 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.4 3
10 Osasuna 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.9 3
11 Sociedad 2 0 2 0 +0 -1.9 2
12 Elche 2 0 2 0 +0 -2.4 2
13 Ath Madrid 2 0 1 1 -1 +1.0 1
14 Valencia 2 0 1 1 -1 +0.8 1
15 Celta 2 0 1 1 -2 -0.6 1
16 Mallorca 2 0 1 1 -3 -2.0 1
17 Sevilla 2 0 0 2 -2 -2.1 0
18 Levante 2 0 0 2 -2 -0.2 0
19 Oviedo 2 0 0 2 -5 -3.7 0
20 Girona 2 0 0 2 -7 -5.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Betis
34′
🟨 Sergi Altimira
45′
M. Bartra 0–1
G. Lo Celso
Half-time 0–1
J. Rueda 🔁
↦ W. Swedberg
46′
1–1 H. Alvarez
47′
53′
🔁 P. Garcia
↦ A. Ruibal
M. Alonso 🔁
↦ M. Ristic
58′
F. Jutgla 🔁
↦ B. Iglesias
67′
I. Aspas 🔁
↦ P. Duran
72′
B. Zaragoza 🔁
↦ H. Alvarez
72′
72′
🔁 V. Gomez
↦ Cucho Hernandez
72′
🔁 C. Bakambu
↦ R. Riquelme
72′
🔁 C. Avila
↦ S. Altimira
Yoel Lago 🟨
74′
90′
🔁 D. Perez Guerrero
↦ G. Lo Celso
94′
🟨 Pablo García
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Celta

3-4-2-1
13 I. Radu G
32 J. Rodriguez D
29 Y. Lago D
21 M. Ristic D
3 O. Mingueza M
22 H. Sotelo M
6 I. Moriba M
23 H. Alvarez M
18 P. Duran F
19 W. Swedberg F
7 B. Iglesias F
Bench (12)
1 I. Villar
20 M. Alonso
5 S. Carreira
24 C. Dominguez
12 M. Fernandez
17 J. Rueda
8 F. Beltran
14 D. Rodriguez
10 I. Aspas
39 J. El Abdellaoui
9 F. Jutgla
15 B. Zaragoza

Coach: Claudio Giráldez González

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 Alvaro Valles G
2 H. Bellerin D
5 M. Bartra D
4 Natan D
12 R. Rodriguez D
6 S. Altimira M
8 P. Fornals M
24 A. Ruibal M
20 G. Lo Celso M
17 R. Riquelme M
19 Cucho Hernandez F
Bench (10)
41 M. Gonzalez
13 Adrian
23 J. Firpo
16 V. Gomez
28 M. Mensah
37 D. Perez Guerrero
11 C. Bakambu
52 P. Garcia
40 A. Ortiz
9 C. Avila

Coach: Manuel Luis Pellegrini Ripamonti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,19
U ✓
3,48
B
3,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.