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Champions League
Referee: C Turpin
Qarabag
S S S S S
2–3
Full-time
Ferencvarosi TC
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Ferencvarosi TC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 80%
100%
60%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
2,6
2,0
Conceded
0,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Aug -25 Ferencvarosi TC – Qarabag 1–3 9. Aug -22 Ferencvarosi TC – Qarabag 1–3 3. Aug -22 Qarabag – Ferencvarosi TC 1–1

Match report

Qarabag Ferencvarosi TC
12′
⚽ L. Joseph 0–1
B. Varga
13′
ℹ️ Lenny Joseph
VAR: Goal confirmed
1–1 Leandro Andrade ⚽
N. Akhundzade
25′
Pedro Bicalho 🟨
37′
42′
🟨 Gabi Kanichowsky
2–1 A. Zoubir ⚽
Leandro Andrade
45′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 A. Pesic
↦ B. Otvos
46′
🔁 Cadu
↦ J. Levi
Kevin Medina 🟨
53′
55′
⚽ B. Varga 2–2
56′
🟨 Naby Keïta
E. Addai 🔁
↦ Leandro Andrade
69′
69′
🔁 B. Nagy
↦ C. O'Dowda
73′
🔁 Z. Gruber
↦ L. Joseph
73′
🔁 A. Toth
↦ N. Keita
Matheus Silva 🟨
81′
81′
⚽ A. Toth 2–3
T. Bayramov 🔁
↦ E. Cafarquliyev
84′
Chriso 🔁
↦ A. Zoubir
85′
90′
🟨 Ibrahim Cissé
M. Qurbanly 🔁
↦ N. Akhundzade
94′
O. Kashchuk 🔁
↦ Kady Borges
95′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 M. Kochalski G
2 Matheus Silva D
13 B. Mustafazada D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cafarquliyev D
35 Pedro Bicalho M
8 M. Jankovic M
15 Leandro Andrade M
20 Kady Borges M
10 A. Zoubir
90 N. Akhundzade F
Bench (12)
1 S. Mahammadaliyev
97 F. Buntic
3 S. Mmaee
6 Chriso
11 E. Addai
18 Dani Bolt
21 O. Kashchuk
22 M. Qurbanly
27 T. Bayramov
30 A. Huseynov
32 H. Cabrayilzada
55 B. Huseynov

Coach: Qurban Qurbanov

Ferencvarosi TC

3-5-2
90 D. Dibusz G
27 I. Cisse D
23 B. Otvos D
28 T. Raemaekers D
25 C. Makreckis M
5 N. Keita M
10 J. Levi M
36 G. Kanichowsky M
47 C. O'Dowda M
19 B. Varga F
75 L. Joseph F
Bench (12)
99 D. Grof
3 S. Gartenmann
7 D. Arzani
8 A. Pesic
16 K. Zachariassen
21 E. Botka
22 G. Szalai
30 Z. Gruber
33 Cadu
57 A. Madarasz
64 A. Toth
77 B. Nagy

Coach: Robbie Keane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.