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DFB-Pokal
Referee: D Siebert
Wehen
T T U T T
2–3
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wehen Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
4,2
Scored
0,8
3,7
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+3,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

21% Possession 79%
6 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 15
3 Blocked shots 2
10 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 7
1 Offside 5
12 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +9 3
2 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +7 3
3 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Magdeburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Bochum 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Darmstadt 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Elversberg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Cottbus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Braunschweig 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Stuttgart 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Illertissen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Preußen Münster 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Hertha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Eintracht Norderstedt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 St Pauli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Atlas Delmenhorst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Regensburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 VfB Lubeck 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Pirmasens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Dresden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Ulm 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Hannover 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Lokomotive Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Sandhausen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 FC Schweinfurt 05 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 BFC Dynamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 BW Lohne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 FC 08 Homburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Sportfreunde Lotte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
56 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 0 0 1 -4 0
57 FV Engers 07 1 0 0 1 -5 0
58 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -5 0
59 Bahlinger SC 1 0 0 1 -5 0
60 ZFC Meuselwitz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
61 RSV Eintracht 1 0 0 1 -7 0
62 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wehen Bayern Munich
16′
H. Kane 0–1
Half-time 0–1
49′
🟨 Aleksandar Pavlović
51′
M. Olise 0–2
Niklas May 🟨
53′
M. Nejad 🔁
↦ R. Johansson
59′
M. Flotho 🔁
↦ N. Agrafiotis
59′
1–2 F. Kaya
N. May
64′
67′
🔁 L. Goretzka
↦ A. Pavlovic
67′
🔁 S. Gnabry
↦ L. Karl
2–2 F. Kaya
M. Flotho
69′
F. Greilinger 🔁
↦ D. Bogicevic
71′
O. Wohlers 🔁
↦ S. Mockenhaupt
71′
77′
🔁 K. Laimer
↦ S. Boey
J. Lewald 🔁
↦ F. Kaya
78′
78′
🔁 J. Stanisic
↦ R. Guerreiro
90′
H. Kane 2–3
J. Stanisic
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Wehen

4-4-2
16 F. Stritzel G
4 S. Mockenhaupt D
27 J. Gillekens D
15 J. Janitzek D
5 N. May D
37 L. Schleimer M
8 D. Bogicevic M
11 T. Gozusirin M
20 R. Johansson M
29 F. Kaya F
25 N. Agrafiotis F
Bench (9)
31 N. Brdar
26 J. Lewald
24 T. Neubert
6 G. Fechner
18 F. Greilinger
22 M. Nejad
44 J. Becker
28 M. Flotho
21 O. Wohlers

Coach: Daniel Scherning

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
40 J. Urbig G
23 S. Boey D
4 J. Tah D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
22 R. Guerreiro D
6 J. Kimmich M
45 A. Pavlovic M
17 M. Olise M
42 L. Karl M
14 L. Diaz M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
48 L. Klanac
30 C. Kiala
44 J. Stanisic
2 D. Upamecano
8 L. Goretzka
27 K. Laimer
7 S. Gnabry
41 J. Kusi Asare
36 W. Mike

Coach: Vincent Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.