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Conference League
Referee: Willy Delajod
Riga
S U S T T
1–0
Full-time
Sparta Praha
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Riga Sparta Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
40%
80%
Points per game
1,4
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
80%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,6
3,4
Scored
1,8
2,6
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Aug -25 Sparta Praha – Riga 2–0

Match report

Riga Sparta Praha
Gauthier Mankenda 🟨
31′
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Jaroslav Zelený
60′
🔁 A. Contreras
↦ O. Galo
60′
🔁 M. Diop
↦ G. Mankenda
S. Eneme 🔁
↦ S. Mannsverk
62′
A. Rrahmani 🔁
↦ J. Kuchta
62′
1–0 Iago Siqueira
M. Diop
68′
Anthony Contreras 🟨
69′
71′
🟨 Lukáš Haraslín
J. Mercado 🔁
↦ M. Rynes
73′
78′
🔁 M. Regza
↦ J. Grimaldo
M. Suchomel 🔁
↦ A. Preciado
95′
97′
🟨 Veljko Birmančević
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Riga

4-3-3
1 P. Vindahl
16 E. Uchenna
26 P. Vydra
30 J. Zeleny
17 A. Preciado
20 S. Mannsverk
6 K. Kairinen
11 M. Rynes
14 V. Birmancevic
10 J. Kuchta
22 L. Haraslin
Bench (12)
44 J. Surovcik
61 D. Kerl
2 M. Suchomel
4 M. Solbakken
5 S. Eneme
7 J. Mercado
9 A. Rrahmani
18 L. Sadilek
21 D. Holly
27 F. Panak
28 K. Milla
31 R. Mokrovics

Coach: Adrián Gul'a

Sparta Praha

3-4-3
1 K. Zviedris
23 M. Tonisevs
21 B. Musah
3 M. Ngom
13 R. Jurkovskis
8 Iago Siqueira
40 A. Ankrah
4 O. Galo
77 G. Mankenda
10 Reginaldo Ramires
20 J. Grimaldo
Bench (11)
12 K. Zommers
44 M. Kazainis
5 K. Wassom
9 A. Contreras
11 B. Pena
18 M. Regza
19 A. Taiwo
22 M. Diop
25 N. Muzinga
27 E. Birka
34 A. Cernomordijs

Coach: Brian Priske Pedersen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Willy Delajod · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.