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La Liga
Referee: R De Burgos
Elche
S S T U T
2–2
Full-time
Sevilla
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 29%
26%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
47%
63%
Both score Ø 58%
63%
53%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,54 xG 3,00
50% Possession 50%
10 Shots 25
5 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 11. · Sevilla 16.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 20 16 1 3 +32 +21.2 49
2 Real Madrid 20 15 3 2 +26 +25.8 48
3 Villarreal 19 13 2 4 +18 +8.3 41
4 Ath Madrid 20 12 5 3 +18 +9.0 41
5 Espanol 20 10 4 6 +1 +5.0 34
6 Betis 20 8 8 4 +8 +6.2 32
7 Celta 20 8 8 4 +8 -0.0 32
8 Sociedad 20 6 6 8 -2 -1.2 24
9 Ath Bilbao 20 7 3 10 -9 +5.8 24
10 Girona 20 6 6 8 -14 -11.3 24
11 Elche 19 5 8 6 +1 -6.8 23
12 Osasuna 20 6 4 10 -3 -3.5 22
13 Vallecano 20 5 7 8 -9 +1.7 22
14 Mallorca 20 5 6 9 -6 -11.6 21
15 Getafe 20 6 3 11 -11 -7.3 21
16 Sevilla 19 6 2 11 -6 -11.2 20
17 Valencia 20 4 8 8 -12 -2.3 20
18 Alaves 20 5 4 11 -9 -3.0 19
19 Levante 19 3 5 11 -11 -9.0 14
20 Oviedo 20 2 7 11 -20 -15.6 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Sevilla
1–0 A. Febas
M. Neto
14′
Víctor Chust 🟨
21′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Nianzou
↦ J. Sanchez
46′
🔁 A. Adams
↦ Peque
2–0 G. Valera
M. Aguado
55′
59′
🟨 Batista Mendy
63′
🔁 C. Ejuke
↦ I. Romero
63′
🔁 M. Sierra
↦ D. Sow
R. Mendoza 🔁
↦ M. Neto
67′
67′
🔁 G. Suazo
B. Diaby 🔁
↦ Josan
68′
Y. Santiago 🔁
↦ G. Diangana
68′
75′
A. Adams 2–1
Yago Santiago 🟨
80′
A. Pedrosa 🔁
↦ G. Valera
80′
F. Redondo Solari 🔁
↦ A. Febas
87′
90′
A. Adams 2–2
Bambo Diaby 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Elche

5-4-1
13 I. Pena G
17 Josan D
23 V. Chust D
22 D. Affengruber D
21 L. Petrot D
11 G. Valera D
19 G. Diangana M
8 M. Aguado M
14 A. Febas M
16 M. Neto M
20 A. Rodriguez F
Bench (12)
1 M. Dituro
45 A. Iturbe
3 A. Pedrosa
4 B. Diaby
5 F. Redondo Solari
7 Y. Santiago
9 Andre Silva
30 R. Mendoza
31 D. Delgado
26 B. Sina
32 A. Boayar
38 A. Sanchez

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Sevilla

3-4-2-1
1 O. Vlachodimos G
2 J. A. Carmona D
6 N. Gudelj D
4 K. Salas D
16 J. Sanchez M
20 D. Sow M
19 B. Mendy M
36 Oso M
18 L. Agoume F
14 Peque F
7 I. Romero F
Bench (11)
13 O. Nyland
31 A. Flores
5 T. Nianzou
8 Joan Jordan
9 A. Adams
12 G. Suazo
15 F. Cardoso
21 C. Ejuke
28 M. Bueno
29 M. Sierra
32 Castrin

Coach: Luis Garcia Plaza

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,23
U ✓
3,30
B
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R De Burgos · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.